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Elaine Kub

Contributing Analyst
Elaine Kub

Elaine Kub is the author of Mastering the Grain Markets: How Profits Are Really Made -- a 360-degree look at all aspects of grain trading, which draws on her experiences as a futures broker, market analyst, grain merchandiser, and farmer. She grew up on a family farm in South Dakota and holds an engineering degree and an MBA.

Recent Blogs by Author

  • Ag Weather Forum
    The Drought Severity and Coverage Index is currently at the lowest level observed in the United States Drought Monitor archives going back to 2000. (Photo courtesy of the National Drought Mitigation Center)

    Goodbye Drought, Hello Mud

    For the first time in 19 years, this week's U.S. Drought Monitor map will likely show no area of the continental United States in anything worse than "moderate" drought. This isn't automatically...

More From This Author

  • Getting out of cash forward contracts is possible, but it could end up costing you.

    Kub's Den

    Getting Out of New-Crop Contracts

    Grain producers who may be short of bushels this fall and need to get out of cash forward contracts are basically at the mercy of the local elevator that holds those contracts. Cancellation policies vary from place to place and...

  • Open interest in corn futures is typically twice the open interest in soybean futures. After the rally of the past three weeks, the December corn contract's open interest has surged to 2.4 times the November soybean contract's open interest. (DTN ProphetX Chart)

    Kub's Den

    Which is Stronger: Optimism or Fear?

    How much of the recent 90-cent jump in corn prices should be ascribed to panicky short covering (fear) versus freshly bullish buying (optimism)? The answer depends on whether we look at the corn futures market as a whole or...

  • The Drought Severity and Coverage Index is currently at the lowest level observed in the United States Drought Monitor archives going back to 2000. (Photo courtesy of the National Drought Mitigation Center)

    Kub's Den

    Goodbye Drought, Hello Mud

    For the first time in 19 years, this week's U.S. Drought Monitor map will likely show no area of the continental United States in anything worse than "moderate" drought. This isn't automatically bearish for the grain markets...

  • Stuck in the mud with no way to plant? You're not alone. DTN Contributing Analyst Elaine Kub outlines the market implications of prevented planting. (Photo courtesy of Ben Riensche)

    Kub's Den

    Prevented Planting: Implications for New-Crop Market Prices

    Wet weather in the Corn Belt at a critical time likely means less overall corn production (through both yield losses and outright acreage losses) and more soybean production. However, predicting the acreage numbers or the market...

  • (DTN file photo)

    DTN Closing Livestock Comments

    Livestock Markets Still Weighted By Bearish Trade Mood

    On Tuesday, live and feeder futures recovered most of Monday's losses, but the damage of the past two weeks still remains. Volatile lean hog futures took advantage of the expanded trading limits Tuesday morning, but ultimately...

  • (DTN file photo)

    DTN Closing Livestock Comments

    Trade War Talk Triggers Hog Market Meltdown

    Hog futures were locked limit down (-$3.00 per cwt) all day Monday and will trade with expanded limits Tuesday. The escalated trade war concerns weighed on cattle futures markets, too, but not to as great an extent.

  • (DTN file photo)

    DTN Closing Livestock Comments

    Hog Prices Frozen by Uncertainty

    Live and feeder cattle futures continued plummeting through the end of this week, driven by speculative traders' need to get out of massive net-long positions in a downward-trending market. Lean hog contracts, meanwhile, settled...

  • Through the first four months of 2019, coffee futures and soybean futures have tended to respond in the same direction as movements in the Brazilian real. (DTN ProphetX Chart)

    Kub's Den

    An Explanation for Soybeans' Day-to-Day Swings

    When one country is the dominant exporter of a commodity -- like Brazil is of coffee or of (non-tariffed) soybeans in spring 2019 -- movements in that country's currency allow the global benchmark prices of the commodity to...

  • Recent March Prospective Plantings surveys have shown acreage intentions that have turned out to be remarkably accurate when compared to each year's final figures. (Graphic uses USDA data)

    Kub's Den

    Unbiased Estimates

    There's unavoidable difference between expectation and reality, which we observe between the original supply and demand estimates and the final numbers (e.g. for planted acreage or ending stocks). As long as those errors don't...