Canada Markets

Saskatchewan Agriculture points to the dry conditions in the western half of the province and the excessively wet conditions in the eastern half over the spring contributing to a pace of crop development that is behind average for most crops.

As seen on the attached chart, an estimated 76% of fall cereals are estimated at their normal growth stage as of June 27, up from 73% last week. This is the highest percentage reported in four years, while above the five-year average of 67.8%.

An estimated 58% of spring cereals are viewed at normal growth stages. This is up 3 points from the previous week, while compares to the five-year average for this week at 64.6% and is the lowest percentage reported in three years. This estimate was 12.4 percentage points behind average last week, while the gap has narrowed to just 6.6 points this week.

Oilseed development remains the furthest behind, with an estimated 46% of the oilseeds at normal growth stages, up just 1 point from the previous week. This compares to the five-year average of 58.6% for this week and is the lowest percentage reported in three years. The spread between the current estimate and the average for the week has narrowed by a modest 1.8 points over the week.

The pulse crop is the closest to normal growth stages, according to government estimates. An estimated 69% of the pulse crop is seen at normal growth stages, up 5 points from the previous week and close to the five-year average of 70.6%. The spread between the current estimate and the average for the week has narrowed by 6 points over the course of the week as the pulse crop advances rapidly.

The next week is forecast to bring a continued active pattern of showers, while DTN is forecasting daytime highs to range from 0 to 3 C below normal across the prairies, which will continue to moderate plant growth.

Cliff Jamieson can be reached at cliff.jamieson@dtn.com

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