Canada Markets

Weather Hampers the Manitoba Harvest

Cliff Jamieson
By  Cliff Jamieson , Canadian Grains Analyst
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The blue bars represent the mean precipitation received across the locations monitored in Manitoba's weekly Crop Weather Report since May 1 by region of the province, as measured against the primary vertical axis. The brown line with markers represents the mean percent of the 30-year average that this precipitation represents for each region, measured against the secondary vertical axis. (DTN chart by Cliff Jamieson)

Wednesday's morning radar shows a system moving across Manitoba with the potential for unwanted precipitation following last weekend's snowstorm, while DTN's seven-day forecast points to more to come late in the seven-day window. This comes as the province struggles to complete the last 26% of the province's crop, as estimated by the provincial government.

The province's row crops make up the largest share of outstanding acres, with approximately 972,000 acres of soybeans, 643,500 acres of canola and 395,500 acres of corn (grain corn only) left to come off, based on the province's own seeded acreage report. Smaller areas also exist for flax, dried beans, oats, barley and sunflower.

AAFC Agroclimatic Maps show that much of the province has received more than 200% of normal precipitation in the past 30-days ending Oct. 15, with the Northwest Region spared from the heaviest accumulations over this period. AAFC's Accumulated Precipitation map shows the heaviest accumulations in excess of 268 millimeters (10.6 inches) over this 30-day period.

The attached chart shows how the precipitation received since May 1 has varied across the five regions. For example, the mean precipitation across the 17 locations monitored within the Eastern Region is 524 mm between May 1 and Oct. 15 (20.6 inches), ranging from 414 mm to 673 mm, as seen with the blue bars measured against the primary vertical axis. The brown line with markers shows that this precipitation averages 137.6% of average for this period.

Also of interest is the variability from the Eastern Region to the Northwest Region, where the average precipitation for the 19 locations over this period is 277 mm, or just 53% of the average calculated for the Eastern Region, while 79% of the long-term average.


DTN 360 Poll

This week's poll asks how your farm is planning to deal with tough grain. You can weigh in with your thoughts on this poll, located on your DTN Canada Home Page. We thank you for your input!

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