Saskatchewan crop conditions showed modest deterioration for most crops over the past two weeks but remain well above last year's condition estimates as well as the five-year average for mid-June.
DTN's Crop Condition Index (CCI) for selected crops on the attached chart as of June 15 (red bars) fell from just 2 points for both oats and barley from the June 2 index (blue bars) to as much as 16 points for flax. One obvious error in government data is seen for dry peas, which were excluded from this analysis, where the good-to-excellent rating fell from 84% on June 1 to 57% on June 15, where the five categories from percent very poor to percent excellent total 70, instead of 100.
Of the crops included on the chart, only the crop condition index for lentils showed improvement over the two weeks, increasing by 6 points to an index of 187 as of June 15, the second-highest rating for this crop seen in the past five years.
When these indices are compared to where we were this time last year (green bars), the current crop condition index ranges from 53 points higher for oats to 133 points higher for winter wheat. For the selected crops, the current index is anywhere from 1.4 times to 4.7 times higher than reported for this week one year ago.
The stage of crop development across the province is both ahead of this time last year and ahead of average. According to the provincial government, 79% of the fall cereals (56%/60.6%), 70% of the spring cereals (48%/63.8%), 63% of the oilseeds (36%/57%) and 80% of pulse crops (52%/65.4%) are at normal growth stages for this week, which is compared to the 2019 rating and the five-year average for this week in brackets. This crop is off to a good start.
When the current crop condition index is compared to the five-year average (purple bars), we see that the selected crops are all above average for this week. Across these crops, this ranges from 12.2 points higher for oats to 35.4% higher for lentils.
On June 29, Statistics Canada will release updated seeded-acre estimates.
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Cliff Jamieson can be reached at email@example.com
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