Canada Markets

A Look at Mid-June Saskatchewan Crop Ratings

Cliff Jamieson
By  Cliff Jamieson , Canadian Grains Analyst
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This chart looks at the crop condition index for selected Saskatchewan crops based on Saskatchewan Agriculture crop ratings. The blue bars represent the most recent June 12 rating, the brown bars represent the May 29 rating, the grey bars represent the same week in 2016 while the yellow bars represent the five-year average for mid-June. (DTN graphic by Scott Kemper)

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada's 7-Day Accumulated Precipitation map shows good moisture over most of the Prairies, with much of the Prairies shaded some variation of blue in the June 8 to June 14 period, which indicates moisture ranging from 15 to 30 millimeters to areas receiving in excess of 65 mm. A significant amount of this precipitation has been received in recent days, since the June 12 cut-off on Saskatchewan's weekly crop report.

As of June 12, Saskatchewan Agriculture has rated the Southwest Region, the Southeast Region and the East-Central Region as fair to good overall, while the West-Central Region, the Northwest Region and the Northeast Region were rated as fair to excellent. This seems generous given this week's wheat crop where the rating includes a 3% poor rating, which ranges all the way to the flax and chickpea crops whose ratings include 13% poor to very poor ratings. Crop deterioration since the May 29 ratings are reported to result from dry conditions in the south to excessive moisture received in areas of the north.

The attached chart plots the trend in the crop condition index (CCI), which is calculated as follows:

CCI = (% Excellent*3) + (% Good *2) + (% Fair *1) + (% Poor *-1) + (% Very Poor * -2)

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The current CCI as of June 12 (blue bars) shows deterioration across all of the selected crops from the previous May 29 indices (brown bars) for the selected crops. The smallest drop in this index over this two-week period was seen in the lentil crop, with the CCI falling by 9 points to 179 points, while the largest drop over the two weeks was seen in soybeans, which fell by 53 points to 144.

As seen on the attached chart, the calculated indices for the selected crops are also lower than indices calculated for the same week in 2016 as well as below the five-year average for this week. Compared to the five-year average, durum's index lags the five-year average by 28.6 points and the soybean index lags the five-year average by 44 points, the two crops that seem to be most affected by conditions in recent weeks.

Once again, it is important to note that recent rains were timely for many areas of the province and crops should show improvement in the next condition report.

DTN 360 Poll

This week's poll asks if you think that Canada should take steps to harmonize wheat grades with the U.S. in order to accommodate a two-way flow of wheat. You can weigh in with your thoughts on this week's poll, which is found at the lower right of DTN's Canada Edition Home Page. We thank you and welcome your input!

Cliff Jamieson can be reached at cliff.jamieson@dtn.com

Follow Cliff Jamieson on Twitter @CliffJamieson

(TN)

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