South America's more-favorable weather conditions remain in place. After a hot and dry trend in Argentina last week, heavy rain fell over the weekend. This pretty much guarantees a good crop with expectations for some follow-up rains early next week.
We continue to see a more normal rainy season established in central Brazil. This is very favorable for developing second-crop (safrinha) corn. Planting progress is running well-ahead of normal, which allows the crop to take more advantage of the current rainfall. At this time, there is no indication of the rainy season coming to an end through at least the first half of March.
In soybeans, harvest progress is running well-ahead of average in central Brazil. Some disruptions to the remaining harvest can be expected, but nothing major. Farther south, the soybean crop in southern Brazil (Rio Grande do Sul) which is in late-filling, maturing and early harvest stages, appears to be in good shape with enough soil moisture to support the late-filling crop, but dry enough to favor maturation and the early harvest.
We will have an update on the sea surface temperature departure in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean for the month of February next week.
Mike Palmerino can be reached at Michael.firstname.lastname@example.org
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