Canada Markets

Crop Condition Index for Select Saskatchewan Crops

Cliff Jamieson
By  Cliff Jamieson , Canadian Grains Analyst
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This chart shows the crop condition index for select Saskatchewan crops based on government crop condition estimates. The blue bars represent the June 3 index, the brown bars represent the June 17 index, the grey bars represent the index calculated for the last week of June in 2018 and the yellow bars represent the five-year average for late June. (DTN graphic by Cliff Jamieson)

Saskatchewan Agriculture's latest crop report was released, as of June 17, and shows dry conditions easing across the province but not enough to halt the deterioration in crop condition as seen in the bi-weekly condition data released.

Crops are well-behind normal growth stages, with the government reporting that an estimated 32% of fall cereals (12.7%), 49% of spring cereals (21.7%), 63% of oilseeds (25%) and 46% of pulses (18%) are rated behind normal growth stages for this week, with the three-year average in brackets.

Additional rain has fallen in various areas of the province since June 17, while the seven-day forecast calls for more, although daytime highs are forecast below normal over the next five days. Social media pictures from the Crop Progress Show in Regina point to good rains in the area, while a morning tweet from a Global News weatherman in Saskatoon indicated that the city has already seen a greater accumulation on Thursday than any single day in the past year. The real question is how crops will respond to the late moisture.

The attached graphic compares the June 3 crop condition index, calculated based on the Saskatchewan government's bi-weekly ratings. Using DTN's methodology for calculating a crop condition index (CCI), the CCI improved for oats (23 points) and barley (16 points) over the past two weeks or since the June 3 data release. This index declined modestly for spring wheat (2 points) and canola (5 points), while the CCI calculated for winter wheat (40 points), durum (46 points), flax (18 points), soybeans (50 points), peas (47 points) and lentils (49 points) saw significant declines over the past two weeks.

Indices for all crops are well-below 2018 levels and the five-year averages based on available data released for the last week of June. For example, the current spring wheat index is 52% of the index released on June 25 2018, while the durum index is 45% of the year-ago index and canola is just 27% of last year.


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