Ag Weather Forum

Dry Weather Affects HRW Wheat

Mike Palmerino
By  Mike Palmerino , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
The seven-day rain forecast indicates a dry trend continues for the southwest and Plains, especially for the hard red winter wheat area. (Photo courtesy of NOAA/National Weather Service)

The impact of dry soils in western Kansas is beginning to show up in the winter wheat crop ratings. The percent of the crop in good-excellent condition stands at 40%. This is down 3% from a week ago. Short to very short topsoil moisture in western Kansas ranges from 80 to 83%. Wheat jointing stands at 5% versus 2% normal. A further reduction in crop ratings can be expected during the next seven days with a forecast of above- to much-above-normal temperatures and little or no rainfall. There are indications that some rain will develop during the last seven to 10 days of the month. However, this is a long-range outlook and highly subject to change.

Soil moisture supplies remain mostly adequate for current wheat crop needs in Oklahoma and Texas. Crop conditions are little changed from a week ago.

However, with little rain and above- to much-above-normal temperatures expected during the next seven days, some decrease in crop conditions are likely. Crop moisture needs are increasing with jointing progress in Oklahoma at 22% versus 19% normal.

Michael Palmerino can be reached at



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