An active weather pattern has returned to the south-central United States including the southern and eastern Midwest and Delta states.
Heavy rains can be expected over the Delta and southern Midwest with mixed precipitation further to the north in the eastern Midwest.
The northwest Midwest and Northern Plains will continue favorably dry through the weekend. Some significant precipitation is possible in the northwest Midwest early next week, but this is uncertain. There remains no sign of any persistent, severe cold in these areas. We remain concerned about fieldwork and planting delays this spring due to wetness.
Moisture remains limited in the Southern Plains winter wheat areas which is normal for this time of the year. There has been some improvement in soil moisture over eastern areas. Some western areas are unfavorably dry. Only light precipitation is expected during the next seven days favoring southern and eastern areas. Any severe cold should be brief and not cause any significant damage to the crop.
As for South America, rainfall in Buenos Aires and Santa Fe in Argentina and Rio Grande do Sul Brazil has been limited during the past seven days. This, in combination with episodes of hot weather is depleting soil moisture and increasing stress on filling soybeans in Rio Grande do Sul and filling corn and soybeans in central Argentina.
Current indications are that the next chance of any widespread, significant rainfall in these areas will not be until early next week. With temperatures expected to rise prior to this rain event, crop stress will continue to increase. This situation bears watching.
Daily episodes of scattered showers in central Brazil favors filling soybeans, but is likely having some impact on the soybean harvest and planting of second-crop corn.
Michael Palmerino can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org
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