Canada Markets

The AG Transport Coalition's Weekly Performance Update shows both CN and CP spotting 86% of the cars wanted for loading, a significant improvement for CP from previous weeks.

This study looks at cumulative producer deliveries of select crops into the licensed handling system which is compared to the same period in 2021-22 along with the year-over-year change in forecast demand.

The yellow pea bid reported for Saskatchewan is well above the five-year average while is nearing the seasonal high for the year.

The CGC's Export of Canadian Grain and Wheat Flour report shows cumulative exports of the major crops down 5% year-over-year.

The January canola contract closed at its highest level in more than three months on Nov. 1, while ending in the top 25% of the range traded during the past four months.

Large green lentils continue to show strength, pulling away from the seasonal trend normally seen this time of year.

Canada exported a sizeable volume in week 12, the fourth consecutive week of favorable movement. Cumulative unloads at terminal elevators remain low, along with reported commercial stocks, while there are rumors of favorable volumes sold to China.

In advance of Statistics Canada's updated production estimates to be released on Dec. 2, we look at the five-year average change in production from the September model-based estimate to the November producer survey results for select crops.

While there are supportive signals in the global wheat market, MGEX HRS for December delivery diverged from winter wheat on Oct. 26 to close lower for a fourth session.

Canada's canola crush was higher in September although cumulative crush is slightly below the three-year average and behind the pace needed to reach the government's 10 mmt crush target.

Feed barley bids reported for Saskatchewan and delivered to southern Alberta remain on the rise with prices moving towards 2021-22 highs early in the crop year.

Durum exports reached the largest weekly volume seen in more than one year in week 11, while cumulative volumes trail the five-year average for this period. Producer deliveries and commercial stocks are above average, a favorable sign.

This study looks at Saskatchewan Agriculture's final topsoil moisture analysis of the season.

Canola closed higher for a second session, with its 100-day moving average in sight.

Soybean oil was the star performer on Oct. 18 and shows a strong uptrend when shown in Canadian dollars/mt.

HRS futures closed higher for the second time in five sessions on Oct. 17 but continue to show technical weakness.

Large wheat exports over recent weeks have boosted cumulative exports through licensed facilities ahead of the five-year average in week 10. Commercial stocks remain above average and may allow for this movement to continue.

The Canadian Drought Monitor shows the area of the prairie agriculture land facing some degree of deficit increasing for a third month while the highest percentage seen in six months.

The USDA's October WASDE report shows a significant rebound in Canada's wheat export potential for 2022-23, while U.S. exports are to fall below year-ago levels. Canada's exports are forecast to surpass the U.S. for only the third time in data going back to 1960-61.

The Canadian dollar posted a weekly gain in the week of Oct. 3, the first in four weeks, while it started the following week under pressure. The Canadian dollar has historically shown weakness in the months of January, October and November.