Canada Markets

North Dakota's Crop Condition Trend for Various Crops

Cliff Jamieson
By  Cliff Jamieson , Canadian Grains Analyst
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The lines on this chart show the trend in the Crop Condition Index calculated for select North Dakota crops, based on the USDA's crop condition estimates this season. The latest condition estimates show the CCI slipping into negative territory for spring wheat, barley, and canola as of June 20. (DTN graphic by Cliff Jamieson)

Drought in North Dakota has led to a great deal of focus on spring wheat crop condition. The state produces roughly 50% of the country's spring wheat and the first estimate of crop condition showed a historically low level and has shown continued deterioration in the following weeks.

The attached chart shows the trend in conditions for several other crops. All have deteriorated since the first condition estimate released, although some crops have fared better than others.

The crop condition index (CCI) for spring wheat for the state is calculated at or near a historic low of 92 on May 23 and has fallen each week since, calculated at -3 for the week ended June 20. This is down from 164 calculated for this week in 2020, as well as the three-year average of 180.3.

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The CCIs for two other crops selected have also fallen into negative territory in the latest week. This includes barley, where the CCI is -4, down from a high of 77 for the week ended May 30. This compares to the 172 last year and the three-year average of 178.3.

Canola is another crop that shows a negative CCI this week in North Dakota's state report, falling to -21 as of June 20, down from 54 in the previous week. This compares to 161 calculated for the same week in 2020 and the three-year average of 148.

As seen on the attached chart, the durum crop is faring better due to timely rains received. The initial CCI is calculated at 129 for the week of June 6 and has slipped to 100 as of June 20, the highest of the crops shown. This compares to 112 reported for this week last year and the three-year average of 157.3.

The state's soil moisture is reported to have deteriorated over the past week, with 72% of the state facing short to very short topsoil moisture and 79% facing short to very short subsoil moisture as of June 20.


DTN 360 Poll

In advance of Statistics Canada seeded acreage report, due for release on June 29, what do you think will be the most obvious changes made to the acreage mix? You can weigh in with your ideas on this poll, which is found on the lower-right side of your DTN Homepage.

Cliff Jamieson can be reached at cliff.jamieson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @Cliff Jamieson

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