Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Showers will continue across the Corn Belt next week, drier and cooler conditions return to Argentina, and remnants of Typhoon Dolphin could lead to flooding in the North China Plain. These are the weather factors driving the markets on Friday.

RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE IN THE MIDWEST NEXT WEEK

Some slight relief to the recent heat will continue through the end of the week behind a slow-moving cold front, which will move through the Ohio Valley on Friday. This week's milder air and recent rainfall will bring improving conditions for some, but for areas south of this week's front, conditions could be warmer and dry. Next week's storm track could go directly over the Corn Belt with some swaths of heavier rain possible at times. A few more shots of widespread rain would be beneficial for filling soybeans and reproductive corn.

SOUTHERN PLAINS REMAIN HOT WITH SHOWERS FAVORING THE CENTRAL PLAINS

The Central Plains have seen most of the rain this week while the Southern Plains have been on the drier side. Throughout next week, storms will continue to favor the Central Plains, but monsoonal moisture from the Desert Southwest could nudge into West Texas at times. Rain may come just in time to benefit reproductive corn in northern areas, but it may be too late in the south, where early harvest will start at the end of the month.

STORM TRACK LEADING TO MORE CONSISTENT RAIN IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS

There was a brief break in the heat earlier this week, but temperatures will rise to the 90s this weekend into next week. Showers and storms will be spotty throughout the weekend, mainly targeting the Dakotas. Precipitation deficits remain high and more rain is needed for reproductive to filling crops. The storm track will continue to favor the Northern Plains next week with a stronger system moving in Thursday and Friday.

ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA NEXT WEEK

Spotty showers have led to worsening conditions for cotton and soybeans. Late this week, isolated showers and storms will return across the region, but model guidance is agreeing that heavy rain will likely not be widespread. A similar pattern may set up for next week with only isolated showers across the region. Any additional rain may be too late for maturing corn and soybeans with early harvest starting up at the end of the month.

RAIN MAY FINALLY TAG THE SOUTHWEST CANADIAN PRAIRIES

Areas in the southwest have been too hot and dry, where stress is starting to show up. Widespread showers may not return until Sunday across the southwest as most storm systems continue to favor northern and eastern areas late this week. Cooler temperatures will linger in the Southern Prairies through early next week, but more heat would help the rate of growth. As showers become more hit or miss, soil moisture is dropping for some areas.

WHEAT DAMAGE POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL ARGENTINA FROM COLD TEMPERATURES

Widespread showers moved through northern and central areas on Thursday. This weekend into next week, a strong area of high pressure will build across much of Argentina and lead to drier conditions once again. If precipitation amounts don't pick up as wheat gets into its reproductive stages of growth, yield reductions are possible. There is also a slight risk for temperatures dropping near freezing next week, mainly across Buenos Aires.

DRY AND HOT ACROSS MOST OF EUROPE NEXT WEEK

Hot temperatures have been present in central and eastern Europe this week and for areas that got missed by showers, increasing stress is possible for reproductive corn. Western Europe has been drier and slightly cooler this week, allowing wheat harvest to continue. Next week, a strong area of high pressure could develop across much of Europe, leading to warmer and drier conditions.

RAIN RETURNS TO SOUTHEAST AUSTRALIA THIS WEEKEND

Drier conditions are becoming more common with the increasing El Nino while most showers earlier this week have favored western areas. While crops are still largely vegetative, that is not an immediate concern. However, if this continues, we will see more drought stress developing as wheat and canola get into their reproductive stages in a few weeks. Widespread, heavier showers will develop across the southeast this weekend, but precipitation could become much more hit or miss next week.

REMNANTS OF TYPHOON DOLPHIN COULD CAUSE FLOODING IN NORTH CHINA PLAIN

Showers may start to become more isolated across northeastern China late this week into next week. This isn't a major concern as recent rainfall has led to largely favorable conditions for corn and soybeans. Typhoon Dolphin will make landfall in southeast China this weekend and lead to heavy rain south of Shanghai. Remnants of Dolphin could impact the North China Plain through much of next week, potentially causing some areas of flooding.

Teresa Wells can be reached at teresa.wells@dtn.com

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