Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Largely favorable harvest weather in the U.S. with some minor disruptions, increasing rain in central Brazil, and continued chilly temperatures in Argentina are the weather factors driving the markets Tuesday.

SEVERAL SYSTEMS BUT LITTLE RAINFALL FOR THE MIDWEST UNTIL NEXT WEEK

It was warm and mostly dry in the Midwest this weekend, which has allowed for a lot of fieldwork to be done. A small system is moving through the northwest with some showers on Tuesday. A front will move through Wednesday and Thursday with a few showers. And more showers may spread through the region over the weekend as well. Despite all of these opportunities for rain, amounts should be light, allowing for more fieldwork to be done this week. A better chance for more widespread precipitation comes with a system early-mid next week.

MINOR DISRUPTIONS TO FIELDWORK IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

A system brought widespread showers through the Central and Southern Plains this weekend and Monday, which will phase out on Tuesday. Though some will be delayed from doing fieldwork, others will be welcoming the rain for winter wheat establishment. A couple of other systems will be moving Friday, this weekend, and early next week which could cause further delays as well.

LIMITED AREAS OF SHOWERS IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Some showers and a little snow moved through eastern areas of the Northern Plains on Monday. A few more isolated showers will be possible through Wednesday. Though there might have been some disruption to fieldwork, there have been some other areas that have stayed relatively dry. There may be some more showers this weekend into early next week that could cause some more disruption as well, but those are uncertain right now.

DROUGHT CONTINUES TO GROW IN DELTA, MISSISSIPPI WATER LEVELS FALLING

Dryness and drought continue to be issues across much of the Delta, but are allowing fieldwork to finish up. However, water levels on the Mississippi River are falling and could be a concern in November if the dryness continues. Some showers will likely go through this weekend, but would be mostly light. Another front should move through next week as well, but may not bring much heavy rain like the region needs.

HEAVY RAIN FORECAST FOR CENTRAL BRAZIL THIS WEEK

Heavy rain has been an issue in southern Brazil so far this season, but showers should be lighter for the next week. Instead, a front has stalled in central Brazil, which will produce some decent coverage of showers throughout the week. That is sorely needed for soybean planting and establishment.

CONTINUED COOL AND SHOWERY WEATHER IN ARGENTINA

Some spotty showers will occur in Argentina throughout the week, maintaining mostly good soil moisture throughout the country. Temperatures have been cold. Though frosts did not occur this weekend, the cold is leading to slower development on wheat and corn. Colder air continues early this week before moderating back to normal for later this week. However, another system moving through early next week could lead to more cold air moving in.

DRIER IN EUROPE THIS WEEK AFTER SOME WIDESPREAD RAIN

Widespread showers moved across Europe over the weekend, though Spain saw dry conditions, which has been too common this fall. Some isolated showers will move through this week, but it should be much drier. Dryness continues to be an issue in many areas of Europe despite some recent rain.

WESTERN RUSSIA NEEDS RAIN FOR WINTER WHEAT

Though there have been a few showers in Ukraine, drier conditions were more common in the Black Sea region this weekend. Some spotty showers remain possible in Ukraine, but western Russia looks to remain drier. Soil moisture is favorable in Ukraine, but not farther east, which is concerning for winter wheat establishment.

SOME RECENT FAVORABLE RAIN FOR PARTS OF AUSTRALIA

Scattered showers moved through the eastern half of Australia over the weekend, but will end the run of rain in Queensland, which has seen beneficial rainfall lately. Showers will mostly fall over the Outback this week, but a system later this week could bring some showers to eastern areas Friday through the weekend. Any rain would be beneficial for filling winter wheat and canola.

FAVORABLE HARVEST WEATHER IN CHINA

Conditions have been favorable in central and northeast China for corn and soybean harvest for quite some time. Winter wheat and canola in south-central China would benefit from more rain, which is forecast to occur this weekend.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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