Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Largely favorable harvest weather in the U.S. with some minor disruptions, increasing rain in central Brazil, and continued chilly temperatures in Argentina are the weather factors driving the markets Monday.

SEVERAL SYSTEMS BUT LITTLE RAINFALL IN THE MIDWEST

It was warm and mostly dry in the Midwest this weekend with some showers developing over Minnesota. That should have allowed for a lot of fieldwork to be done over the last week. The small system will move through the Northwest with some showers early this week. A front will move through midweek with a few showers and a smaller system could be possible for the weekend as well. Despite all of these opportunities for rain, amounts should be light, allowing for more fieldwork to be done this week.

MINOR DISRUPTIONS TO FIELDWORK IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

A front moved into the Central and Southern Plains over the weekend with scattered showers. A system developing along that front will continue showers into Tuesday. Though some will be delayed from doing fieldwork, others will be welcoming the rain for winter wheat establishment. A couple of other systems will be moving in this weekend and next week which could cause further delays as well.

LIMITED AREAS OF SHOWERS IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Some showers moved through the Northern Plains over the weekend, which continue early this week along with some colder air. That could produce a few areas of snow as well. Though there might have been some disruption to fieldwork, there have been some other areas that have stayed relatively dry. And some showers early this week should leave with some rather dry weather behind it for the rest of the week, which should allow for some more fieldwork.

DROUGHT CONTINUES TO GROW IN DELTA, MISSISSIPPI WATER LEVELS FALLING

Dryness and drought continue to be issues across much of the Delta, but are allowing fieldwork to finish up. However, water levels on the Mississippi River are falling and could be a concern in November if the dryness continues as forecast.

HEAVY RAIN FORECAST TO MOVE BACK INTO CENTRAL BRAZIL THIS WEEK

A system moved into southern Brazil with heavy rain over the weekend. Heavy rain has been an issue so far this season. The front to the system is moving into central Brazil early this week and will stall. That could allow for some decent coverage of showers throughout the week, which are sorely needed for soybean planting and establishment.

CONTINUED COOL AND SHOWERY WEATHER IN ARGENTINA

Some spotty showers occurred in Argentina over the weekend and will be possible again this week. Temperatures have been cold. Though frosts did not occur this weekend, the cold is leading to slower development on wheat and corn. Colder air continues early this week before moderating back to normal for later this week. However, another system moving through early next week could lead to more cold air moving in.

DRIER IN EUROPE THIS WEEK AFTER SOME WIDESPREAD RAIN

Widespread showers moved across Europe over the weekend, though Spain saw dry conditions, which has been too common this fall. Some isolated showers will move through this week, but it should be much drier. Dryness continues to be an issue in many areas of Europe despite some recent rain.

WESTERN RUSSIA NEEDS RAIN FOR WINTER WHEAT

Though there were a few showers in Ukraine, drier conditions were more common in the Black Sea region this weekend. Some spotty showers remain possible in Ukraine, but western Russia looks to remain drier. Soil moisture is favorable in Ukraine, but not in western Russia, which is concerning for winter wheat establishment.

SOME FAVORABLE RAIN FOR PARTS OF AUSTRALIA

Scattered showers moved through the eastern half of Australia over the weekend, but will end the run of rain in Queensland, which has benefited from recent rain. Showers will mostly fall over the Outback this week, but a system later this week could bring some showers to eastern areas Friday through the weekend. Any rain would be beneficial for filling winter wheat and canola.

FAVORABLE HARVEST WEATHER IN CHINA

Typhoon Champi barely made it to the central China coast over the weekend, which meant that much of central and northeast China stayed dry and allowed for corn and soybean harvest. Winter wheat and canola in south-central China would benefit from more rain, but that is not forecast until maybe the coming weekend.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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