Commodities Market Impact Weather

Heat Coming Before Strong Cold Front

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Heat before a strong cold front moving through the United States and cooler conditions down in South America are the short-term weather factors driving the markets Wednesday.

MIDWEST DRIER FOR A FEW DAYS

Scattered showers moved through the Midwest with a cold front and a system during the weekend. Rains were scattered for most areas, but heavy amounts occurred in spots from southern Illinois up through Ohio. Some areas trying to get a good finishing rain got it while many others missed out. The area will largely be dry until a front slowly moves through Friday through the weekend and into next week. A similar situation to the previous front will be possible with limited showers in the west and more consistent ones in the east. This offers a mixed bag of conditions for the next 10 days.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

Texas has seen some drought reduction recently, but not across the west where drought has been a struggle all season long. A front will move through the Central and Southern Plains this weekend, but any showers will come in lines and most areas will get missed. High temperatures out ahead of the front will cause stress to any corn or soybeans still looking to fill while soils remain too dry for many wheat planters to get an early start.

COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN PLAINS

A front will move through the Northern Plains Thursday and Friday and may have a few showers, but most areas should stay dry. South Dakota looks like it could be the winner out of the event. Much lower temperatures will follow behind the front. Corn and soybeans that are still filling could find some use out of any showers. Heat will occur before the front, which will be stressful, while some cooler air filters in behind it for a couple of days.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR THE DELTA

Rains will return to the Delta this weekend as the next front pulls more moisture northward. Conditions will be tougher for maturing crops and harvest but those looking for some more finishing rains will find some decent conditions.

COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH CANADIAN PRAIRIES

A cold front coming through the Canadian Prairies on Thursday will bring some limited showers and breezy conditions as well as some colder conditions. Frosts are not expected but lower temperatures will relieve any late-planted crops still filling and reduce the drydown of mature crops.

SHOWERS FOR SOUTHERN BRAZIL

A stalled front early this week and another coming through later in the week will continue to bring scattered showers to southern Brazil. While soil moisture continues to be good for early corn plantings and establishment, as well as prepping soils for soybean planting as well, lower temperatures will move into southern areas this weekend, which would be unfavorable. Maturing wheat could also stand some warmer and drier weather, but conditions are not cooperative right now.

ARGENTINA WHEAT STILL COLD

Low temperatures produced more frosts and freezes in Argentina during the weekend and another front later this week and weekend will likely do the same. Limited rainfall and low temperatures have been detrimental for wheat development so far this season. More developed wheat would be at risk for damage while corn and soybean planting may be further delayed this spring.

COOLER FOR THE BLACK SEA

Lower temperatures filled into the Black Sea region during the weekend, reducing stress for corn and sunflowers. Soil moisture in the region is limited in many of the wheat areas which will need more before winter wheat planting commences. The system that pinwheels through Europe this week will eventually find its way into Ukraine and western Russia by this weekend. The slow-moving nature should bring scattered showers to many areas in need.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick