Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Forecasts for very cool conditions with some frost in the central U.S. and consistent rain forecasts for the Black Sea region are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

NOTABLE COOLING FOR MIDWEST

The DTN Ag Weather forecast calls for showers in the eastern Midwest Tuesday to disrupt fieldwork and planting. Additional showers and very cool conditions are forecast for later in the week. Temperatures may fall below freezing several nights into early next week. This will need to be monitored for frost on recently emerged crops and developing wheat. The forecast could bring fieldwork and planting delays.

MIXED SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

In the Southern Plains, western sectors remain dry with unfavorable conditions for winter wheat. Showers in central and eastern areas have been favorable for the crop. Some rainfall will be possible Tuesday and Thursday but anything of real consequence is likely to be scattered.

COLDER NORTHERN PLAINS TREND

The Northern Plains has a colder pattern forecast through the balance of the week. This colder trend will keep fieldwork and planting delayed.

PERIODIC DELTA SHOWERS

The Delta will have scattered rains Tuesday but with minor fieldwork and planting delays. Moderate showers move through Thursday night through Friday. Developing crops should find generally favorable weather for development, though temperatures will fall well below normal this weekend and slow growth.

RAIN FOR BLACK SEA REGION

Russia and Ukraine continue with a promising forecast for rain during the next seven days. Moderate to heavy amounts are indicated. This rain would be very beneficial to winter wheat and will be closely monitored.

RAINS EASE EUROPE DRYNESS

Recent showers in western and northern Europe have eased dryness from earlier in the spring. A drier trend during the next few days will allow for summer crop fieldwork which had been delayed by the rain.

MIXED BRAZIL RAINFALL

Across Brazil, scattered rainfall is in store this week. Southern areas still harvesting will find some delays. Central areas will likely not receive enough rainfall to ease recent dryness. Northern areas that have had better soil moisture conditions will likely see the least amount of rainfall and dryness could start becoming a concern for developing corn and cotton across the entire country.

SHOWERS AND COOL IN ARGENTINA

Argentina crop areas have a new round of light to moderate rain showers which will cause some fieldwork and harvest delays. Drier conditions later this week will benefit the continued corn and soybean harvest. Cold temperatures in the middle of the week could cause some localized frost to new winter wheat in the south.

WIDESPREAD AUSTRALIA RAIN FORECAST

Almost all Australia wheat areas have light to locally moderate rain forecast through this coming week. The rain will cause some interruptions in wheat seeding; however, moisture will be favorable for soil moisture and will be utilized by early-developing wheat which has already been seeded.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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