Commodities Market Impact Weather

"Slow Grow" in Midwest

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Low temperatures limiting crop growth in the Midwest, and periods of showers in the Southern Plains, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

COOL MIDWEST PATTERN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for frequent but light showers in the Midwest to allow some improvement in planting progress for corn and soybeans. However, near- to below-normal temperatures will reduce growing-degree-day accumulations, which is unfavorable for late-planted crops.

VARIABLE NORTHERN PLAINS CONDITIONS

In the Northern Plains, near- to below-normal rainfall is more favorable for corn and soybean planting in the Northern Plains. However, near- to below-normal temperatures slow growing-degree-day accumulations. Favorable conditions are in effect for developing spring wheat.

SHOWERS AND COOL IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, the forecast continues to feature showers and low temperatures in the week ahead. This will keep final development of winter wheat delayed.

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WEEKEND SOUTHEAST RAIN

The southeastern U.S. had moderate-to-heavy rain during the past weekend. This will help ease concerns for crops following hot, dry May weather. Some local flooding was also noted in the rainfall event.

MIXED PRAIRIES RAINFALL

Across the Canadian Prairies, only light rain is indicated during the next week. Recent showers were focused in Alberta.

FAVORABLE BRAZIL HARVEST TREND

Across Brazil, harvest conditions for safrinha corn are favorable. Total crop production in Brazil will be large for the 2018-19 year.

BLACK SEA REGION DRYNESS

In the Black Sea region, eastern Ukraine, southern Russia and the Volga valley continue under a drier and warmer-than-normal weather pattern during the next week to 10 days. This pattern will increase stress on winter wheat, corn and sunflower crops.

FAVORABLE KAZAKHSTAN TREND

In central Asia, spring wheat conditions in Kazakhstan and Siberia are mostly favorable, following beneficial rainfall during the past week.

FAVORABLE AUSTRALIA FORECAST

Australia will have improving conditions for winter wheat during this week. Rain has recently occurred in Western Australia wheat areas and during this week will occur in southern South Australia, Victoria and southern New South Wales.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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