DTN Retail Fertilizer Trends

Fertilizer Prices Begin November Mixed; No Significant Changes

Russ Quinn
By  Russ Quinn , DTN Staff Reporter
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DAP fertilizer prices were just slightly higher in the first week of November, averaging $714/ton. (DTN chart)

OMAHA (DTN) -- Retail fertilizer retailers tracked by DTN for the first week of November 2023 report mixed prices to begin the month. Five fertilizers were slightly higher compared to last month while the remaining three were down a bit.

For the first time in several months, no fertilizer was up or down a considerable amount. DTN designates a significant move as anything 5% or more.

Five fertilizers were just slightly higher than a month ago. DAP had an average price of $714/ton, MAP $802/ton, potash $509/ton, anhydrous $830/ton and UAN28 $360/ton.

Three fertilizers were just slightly lower in price compared to last month. Urea had an average price of $573/ton, 10-34-0 $613/ton and UAN32 $415/ton.

On a price per pound of nitrogen basis, the average urea price was at $0.62/lb.N, anhydrous $0.51/lb.N, UAN28 $0.64/lb.N and UAN32 $0.65/lb.N.

Australia-based BHP recently announced it will spend $6.4 billion (Canadian dollars) for stage two to increase production of their Jansen potash mine east of Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada, according to CBC News. The investments will make it one of the largest potash mines in the world.

"This is an important milestone that underscores our confidence in potash and marks the next phase of the company's growth in Canada," BHP CEO Mike Henry said. "We believe Jansen will deliver long-term value for shareholders and the local community and will position BHP as one of the leaders in the global potash industry."

The company spent $7.5 billion (Canadian) for stage one, which began in August 2021. The construction of this phase is 32% completed and is on schedule for production to begin in 2026.

BHP said construction for stage two is expected to take six years to complete. Production from this phase of construction is expected to begin in 2029.

All fertilizer prices are now lower by double digits compared to one year ago. MAP is 18% lower, 10-34-0 is 19% less expensive, DAP is 23% lower, urea is 29% less expensive, UAN28 is 38% lower, UAN32 is 39% less expensive, potash is 40% lower and anhydrous is 42% less expensive compared to a year prior.

DTN gathers fertilizer price bids from agriculture retailers each week to compile the DTN Fertilizer Index. DTN first began reporting data in November 2008.

In addition to national averages, MyDTN subscribers can access the full DTN Fertilizer Index, which includes state averages, here: https://www.mydtn.com/….

The global fertilizer market appears to be less volatile in 2023 compared to 2022, according to a recent report from RaboResearch. You can read about it here: https://www.dtnpf.com/….

Dry
Date Range DAP MAP POTASH UREA
Nov 7-11 2022 931 980 853 812
Dec 5-Dec 9 2022 920 950 819 784
Jan 2-Jan 6 2023 876 879 752 739
Jan 30-Feb 3 2023 847 862 704 698
Feb 27-Mar 3 2023 827 827 666 648
Mar 27-31 2023 818 810 644 626
Apr 24-28 2023 827 804 624 595
May 22-26 2023 834 832 624 623
June 19-23 2023 825 827 618 619
July 17-21 2023 807 812 608 596
Aug 14-18 2023 745 762 558 573
Sep 11-15 2023 710 742 500 554
Oct 9-13 2023 711 794 506 575
Nov 6-10 2023 714 802 509 573
Liquid
Date Range 10-34-0 ANHYD UAN28 UAN32
Nov 7-11 2022 758 1434 582 680
Dec 5-Dec 9 2022 751 1415 581 681
Jan 2-Jan 6 2023 754 1302 573 673
Jan 30-Feb 3 2023 754 1223 518 583
Feb 27-Mar 3 2023 741 1077 444 525
Mar 27-31 2023 741 1026 428 513
Apr 24-28 2023 740 928 426 508
May 22-26 2023 739 798 419 509
June 19-23 2023 734 755 402 471
July 17-21 2023 717 713 385 457
Aug 14-18 2023 705 630 359 399
Sep 11-15 2023 600 696 353 389
Oct 9-13 2023 613 804 356 418
Nov 6-10 2023 613 830 360 415

Russ Quinn can be reached at Russ.Quinn@dtn.com

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Russ Quinn