DTN Retail Fertilizer Trends

Fertilizer Prices Steady as Application Ramps Up

Russ Quinn
By  Russ Quinn , DTN Staff Reporter
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Despite some supply issues in parts of the Corn Belt, the average retail price of anhydrous was down $4 to $592 the second week of April 2019 from $596 the second week of March. (DTN chart)

OMAHA (DTN) -- Though fertilizer applications have begun to ramp up in some areas of the Corn Belt, average retail prices saw only small moves in either direction the second week of April 2019, according to retailers surveyed by DTN.

Prices for five of the eight major fertilizers were slightly higher than a month ago. Potash had an average price of $387 per ton, urea $404/ton, 10-34-0 $481/ton, UAN28 $271/ton and UAN32 $317/ton.

Average prices for the other three fertilizers were slightly lower. DAP had an average price of $505/ton, MAP $532/ton and anhydrous $592/ton.

On a price per pound of nitrogen basis, the average urea price was at $0.44/lb.N, anhydrous $0.36/lb.N, UAN28 $0.48/lb.N and UAN32 $0.50/lb.N.

With some drier weather, fertilizer application is underway in areas of the Midwest, especially in the Western Corn Belt, after very little fertilizer was applied last fall. There have been some reports of retailers having anhydrous supply issues. But the issue hasn't been widespread enough to affect the price, though regional shortages could create some price spikes.

John Oehlerking, a farmer from near Elmwood, Nebraska, told DTN that farmers in his area of southeastern Nebraska are finally seeing cooperative weather, and "everyone" is trying to beat the rain predicted to fall on Wednesday. He posted a video on Twitter Tuesday of long lines as area farmers attempted to weigh and pull anhydrous tanks to their fields.

"Everyone has been nervously watching the calendar, as our local co-op, Midwest Farmers Coop, has been very proactive and warning of the challenges that we were facing this spring with the logistics of nitrogen application and has been working diligently to minimize any impact that may occur," Oehlerking said.

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Some years, soils would dry from south to north. This would allow anhydrous to be put on in smaller areas, and transport trucks would follow the application season northward. To some extent, that didn't happen this spring, as the weather is conducive for application now and everyone is trying to apply fertilizer at the same time, he said.

Oehlerking said his retailer has not run out of anhydrous, but there have been some long lines to get the product.

The predicted rain at midweek could help with replenishing fertilizer supplies, as local retailers will be able to reload their facilities while farmers take a break from fieldwork, Oehlerking said. However, considering the number of acres that still need to be covered this spring, the rush will be back on and the lines will return after the soils dry.

Some farmers may switch acres to UAN or urea, which might help with supply issues, but the logistics and cost difference might keep some from doing this, Oehlerking said. As spring progresses and some farmers finish their fertilizer applications that will free up more supplies. But that is still a little ways off, he said.

"We will make it through this," Oehlerking said.

All eight of the major fertilizers are now higher compared to last year with prices shifting higher. MAP is 5% more expensive, DAP is 6% higher, both urea and potash are 10% more expensive, both 10-34-0 and UAN28 are 13% higher and anhydrous and UAN32 are now both 16% more expensive compared to last year.

DTN collects roughly 1,700 retail fertilizer bids from 310 retailer locations weekly. Not all fertilizer prices change each week. Prices are subject to change at any time.

DTN Pro Grains subscribers can find current retail fertilizer price in the DTN Fertilizer Index on the Fertilizer page under Farm Business.

Retail fertilizer charts dating back to 2010 are available in the DTN fertilizer segment. The charts included cost of N/lb., DAP, MAP, potash, urea, 10-34-0, anhydrous, UAN28 and UAN32.

DRY
Date Range DAP MAP POTASH UREA
Apr 9-13 2018 482 504 353 369
May 7-11 2018 483 505 354 366
Jun 4-8 2018 484 505 354 364
Jul 2-6 2018 485 504 354 366
Jul 30- Aug 3 2018 488 505 355 366
Aug 27-31 2018 487 513 357 365
Sep 24-28 2018 494 520 361 385
Oct 22-26 2018 499 518 366 406
Nov 19-23 2018 501 530 368 407
Dec 17-21 2018 508 532 377 407
Jan 14-18 2019 512 534 383 407
Feb 11-15 2019 512 537 385 405
Mar 11-15 2019 510 534 386 402
Apr 8-12 2019 505 532 387 404
LIQUID
Date Range 10-34-0 ANHYD UAN28 UAN32
Apr 9-13 2018 427 510 241 275
May 7-11 2018 431 512 241 276
Jun 4-8 2018 440 503 241 276
Jul 2-6 2018 443 505 242 279
Jul 30- Aug 3 2018 443 498 242 279
Aug 27-31 2018 446 480 233 271
Sep 24-28 2018 449 493 236 278
Oct 22-26 2018 457 499 243 284
Nov 19-23 2018 457 520 246 287
Dec 17-21 2018 457 565 265 304
Jan 14-18 2019 462 580 270 305
Feb 11-15 2019 470 596 271 318
Mar 11-15 2019 469 596 269 318
Apr 8-12 2019 481 592 271 317

Russ Quinn can be reached at russ.quinn@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @RussQuinnDTN

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Russ Quinn