DTN Retail Fertilizer Trends

OMAHA (DTN) -- Retail fertilizer prices continued to move lower the fifth week of August 2017, according to fertilizer retailers surveyed by DTN.

All eight of the major fertilizers were lower compared to last month. But, like last week, only two were down by any significant amount. UAN32 was 6% lower compared to the previous month and had an average price of $248 per ton. UAN28 was also lower, down 5% compared to last month. UAN28 had an average price of $215/ton.

The remaining six fertilizers were just slightly lower compared to last month. DAP had an average price of $433/ton, MAP $457/ton, potash $338/ton, urea $303/ton, 10-34-0 $418/ton and anhydrous $417/ton.

On a price per pound of nitrogen basis, the average urea price was at $0.33/lb.N, anhydrous $0.25/lb.N, UAN28 $0.38/lb.N and UAN32 $0.39/lb.N.

In a post titled "Fertilizer price trends in 2017," Michigan State University (MSU) Extension senior educator wrote about what retail fertilizer prices have done so far this year. As one might expect, the author stated that prices are on the low side so far in 2017.

"The current prices of all fertilizers are 5 to 15% lower than the corresponding 2015-2016 prices," Silva wrote. "The prices remained low and stable. The fertilizer industry is historically cyclical and currently going through a down cycle."

Silva wrote that MSU Extension advises farmers to be aware of fertilizer price fluctuations and to take advantage of purchasing options when prices are low.

He specifically pointed out that some farmers will pre-order phosphorus (P) and potash (K) to take advantage of lower off-season prices. The lower prices for P and K should be an incentive for farmers to build up rates on fields that are below the critical soil-test levels, Silva wrote.

"Despite the current fertilizer market stability, unforeseen changes in the global demand or supply may cause price fluctuations," he wrote.

The entire MSU report can be viewed at http://msue.anr.msu.edu/….

All but one retail fertilizer are lower compared to a year earlier. Three of the eight major fertilizers are double digits lower.

Anhydrous is now 18% lower from a year ago, while 10-34-0 is 15% less expensive and UAN32 is 10% lower. UAN28 is 8% less expensive, urea is 7% lower, DAP is 4% less expensive and MAP is 2% lower.

The one fertilizer that is higher compared to last year is potash, which is now 3% more expensive.

DTN collects roughly 1,700 retail fertilizer bids from 310 retailer locations weekly. Not all fertilizer prices change each week. Prices are subject to change at any time.

DTN Pro Grains subscribers can find current retail fertilizer price in the DTN Fertilizer Index on the Fertilizer page under Farm Business.

Retail fertilizer charts dating back to 2010 are available in the DTN fertilizer segment. The charts included cost of N/lb., DAP, MAP, potash, urea, 10-34-0, anhydrous, UAN28 and UAN32.

DTN's average of retail fertilizer prices from a month earlier ($ per ton):

DRY
Date Range	DAP	MAP	POTASH	UREA
Aug 29-Sept 2 2016	449	464	327	326
Sept 26-30 2016	440	458	317	322
Oct 24-28 2016	436	451	313	317
Nov 21-25 2016	436	445	316	328
Dec 19-23 2016	432	437	321	336
Jan 16-20 2017	430	443	324	346
Feb 13-17 2017	432	450	332	357
Mar 13-17 2017	443	462	337	360
Apr 10-13 2017	437	466	338	353
May 8-12 2017	437	466	340	351
Jun 5-9 2017	438	469	339	338
Jul 3-7 2017	436	467	339	325
Jul 31-Aug 4 2017	434	463	339	311
Aug 28-Sept 1 2017	433	457	338	303
LIQUID
Date Range	10-34-0	ANHYD	UAN28	UAN32
Aug 29-Sept 2 2016	493	509	233	275
Sept 26-30 2016	465	486	223	271
Oct 24-28 2016	452	472	224	262
Nov 21-25 2016	445	465	218	256
Dec 19-23 2016	442	468	217	255
Jan 16-20 2017	437	478	235	267
Feb 13-17 2017	440	491	240	276
Mar 13-17 2017	441	507	247	280
Apr 10-13 2017	441	505	247	280
May 8-12 2017	437	508	247	280
Jun 5-9 2017	435	503	246	278
Jul 3-7 2017	432	462	236	268
Jul 31-Aug 4 2017	426	418	227	262
Aug 28-Sept 1 2017	418	417	215	248

Russ Quinn can be reached at russ.quinn@dtn.com

Follow Russ Quinn on Twitter @RussQuinnDTN

(AG/SK)

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