DTN Retail Fertilizer Trends

OMAHA (DTN) -- Average retail prices for most fertilizers were lower during the second week of May 2024, according to sellers surveyed by DTN. This was the second week in a row that most fertilizer prices were lower.

Also, like last week, the price of just one fertilizer saw a significant move, which DTN designates as anything 5% or more. That was the price of urea, which was down 5% from a month ago. The nitrogen fertilizer had an average price of $556 per ton.

Prices of four other fertilizers were just slightly less expensive compared to last month. MAP had an average price of $829 per ton, potash $511/ton, anhydrous $792/ton and UAN28 $364/ton.

Three fertilizers were slightly higher in price from last month. DAP had an average price of $789/ton, 10-34-0 $642/ton and UAN32 $418/ton.

On a price per pound of nitrogen basis, the average urea price was $0.60/lb.N, anhydrous $0.48/lb.N, UAN28 $0.65/lb.N and UAN32 $0.65/lb.N.

In a post titled "Are You Overspending on Fertilizer?" University of Minnesota Extension educator Brad Carlson examined the farm financial data from thousands of farmers in the Minnesota farm business management program (https://blog-crop-news.extension.umn.edu/…). Carlson said he looked at the fertilizer expense on a per-acre basis in the database to see if farmers were overspending on fertilizer.

Carlson discovered that in 2016, fertilizer costs for the 20% most-profitable farms averaged $138 per acre, while the 20% least-profitable farms spent $177 per acre on fertilizer -- a 28% difference.

"I have continued to track the reports annually, and the results have been relatively consistent over the years, with the least-profitable farms between 2017 and 2022 spending 15% to 30% more on fertilizer per year than the most profitable farms," Carlson wrote. "For comparison, the difference in seed cost averaged 0.5% to 12% more per year."

There were six main reasons why farmers overspent on fertilizer, according to Carlson. Those included putting on too much nitrogen, increasing nitrogen rate to mask bad application choices, applying phosphorus and potash when removal rates are already high, split-applying nitrogen when there is no advantage, using premium fertilizer products, and buying a fertility advisory technology that doesn't pay for itself.

Once again, all fertilizers are lower compared to one year ago. MAP is 1% lower, DAP is 5% less expensive, anhydrous is 12% lower, 10-34-0 is 13% less expensive, UAN28 is 14% lower, urea is 18% less expensive and both potash and UAN32 are now 19% lower compared to a year prior.

DTN gathers fertilizer price bids from agriculture retailers each week to compile the DTN Fertilizer Index. DTN first began reporting data in November 2008.

In addition to national averages, MyDTN subscribers can access the full DTN Fertilizer Index, which includes state averages, here: https://www.mydtn.com/….

Fertilizer manufacturer Mosaic said lower fertilizer prices led to a 26% drop in quarterly sales for the company to $2.7 billion, according to Dow Jones. You can read about it here: https://www.dtnpf.com/….

DRY
Date Range	DAP	MAP	POTASH	UREA
May 15-19 2023	829	831	627	619
June 12-16 2023	823	832	621	624
July 10-14 2023	811	823	614	609
Aug 7-Aug 11 2023	758	764	566	576
Sep 4-8 2023	738	745	518	563
Oct 2-6 2023	705	791	508	573
Oct 30-Nov 3 2023	713	801	508	573
Nov 27-Dec 1 2023	715	820	518	552
Dec 25-29 2023	721	812	514	536
Jan 22-26 2024	734	809	509	527
Feb 19-23 2024	749	812	506	534
Mar 18-22 2024	778	823	506	574
Apr 15-19 2024	780	830	513	585
May 13-17 2019	789	829	511	556
LIQUID
Date Range	10-34-0	ANHYD	UAN28	UAN32
May 15-19 2023	739	895	421	514
June 12-16 2023	737	781	406	476
July 10-14 2023	730	734	393	465
Aug 7-Aug 11 2023	714	634	369	400
Sep 4-8 2023	611	693	356	390
Oct 2-6 2023	609	790	354	414
Oct 30-Nov 3 2023	611	826	358	415
Nov 27-Dec 1 2023	595	847	341	409
Dec 25-29 2023	599	792	340	394
Jan 22-26 2024	610	770	335	390
Feb 19-23 2024	615	764	339	393
Mar 18-22 2024	628	793	358	402
Apr 15-19 2024	641	794	364	418
May 13-17 2019	642	792	364	418

Russ Quinn can be reached at Russ.Quinn@dtn.com.

Follow him on social platform X @RussQuinnDTN.

(c) Copyright 2024 DTN, LLC. All rights reserved.