Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A cold front pushing through the U.S., a burst of cooler temperatures for the weekend, and showers across Europe are the weather factors driving the markets Tuesday.

FRONT PUSHING THROUGH MIDWEST, COLDER AIR THIS WEEKEND, NEXT WEEK

A front continues to push through the Midwest through Wednesday, bringing scattered showers and a slight drop in temperature. Another front will move through Friday through the weekend. That front may not bring much rainfall, but should bring a more significant drop in temperature going into next week that will feel like fall and reduce stress for some areas that remain drier.

FRONT MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

A front will continue to drop through the Central and Southern Plains over the next couple of days with scattered showers. Another front will move through late this week and weekend. A more significant drop in temperature will follow behind the front going into next week. Conditions are still largely favorable for most areas in the region due to regular rainfall.

COLD AIR MOVING INTO NORTHERN PLAINS LATER THIS WEEK

Another front will move through the Northern Plains on Thursday, but with more limited rainfall. More noticeably, the front will bring through a burst of much cooler air, especially for the Dakotas that will make it feel like fall. Recent rainfall has been favorable for filling corn and soybeans, but not for the spring wheat harvest. Some drier conditions in the forecast may help with that.

ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE IN THE DELTA

Isolated showers continue in the Delta, especially across the south. Though a couple of fronts will move through this week and weekend, showers are forecast to remain isolated. Dry spots have been popping up and the rainfall will be important to finish out the crop. Many areas are getting missed though, which could hurt the latter stages of corn and soybean fill, as well as filling cotton.

SCATTERED SHOWERS IN CANADIAN PRAIRIES, SLIGHT RISK OF FROST

A system will move through the Canadian Prairies later this week, bringing some rainfall and being an annoyance for maturing crops and harvest. Temperatures behind the front will take a dive, especially across the east through the weekend. Frosts are not in the forecast, but could be close, which would put an end to the season if they occur.

TWO FRONTS MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN BRAZIL

In Brazil, spring planting will begin in about a month as long as soil moisture is favorable across the south. A front is bringing widespread and needed rainfall across the south Tuesday and Wednesday. Another front is forecast to do the same this weekend. Some frosts may occur behind the second front, which would be concerning for advancing wheat.

SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH EUROPE

A system will go spinning through Europe this week with widespread showers from France to Romania. Temperatures will fall behind the system as well, reducing stress. Another system may do something similar next week.

DROUGHT STILL A CONCERN IN THE BLACK SEA REGION

It continues to be very dry for much of the Black Sea region. A weak system brought limited showers through this weekend. A system moving through Europe may bring more widespread showers to western areas later this week, but are forecast to become isolated farther east this weekend. Eastern areas have endured more heat and dryness than not throughout the season, which continues to be unfavorable for corn and sunflowers.

EASTERN AUSTRALIA NEEDS MORE RAIN

A front lingering in northeastern Australia is producing some beneficial showers, which will help to reverse a recent dry trend. Another front will move through Western Australia on Tuesday with another round of good rainfall for an area that has seen crop conditions improving as they start heading. That front will struggle to produce rain for eastern areas later this week, which have started to get drier again and could use some more rain as heading starts to come over the next couple of weeks.

IMPROVED RAINFALL IN CENTRAL CHINA

A front brought some good rainfall to central China over the weekend, which will stick around this week with more rainfall. Central areas have had issues with heat and dryness throughout the season and this rainfall will be very helpful. Northeastern corn and soybean areas continue to have much more favorable weather conditions.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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