Commodities Market Impact Weather

Stable Pattern Briefly Coming to US

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A briefly stable pattern in the United States, showers across South America, and heavy rain in eastern Australia are the weather factors holding the market's attention Wednesday.

LIGHT SHOWERS FOR EASTERN MIDWEST

A system will move through the Midwest on Wednesday and Thursday with scattered showers again for eastern areas. Some more showers are possible this weekend as well. Showers are continuing to cause delays for the remaining bits of harvest and fieldwork.

SOUTHWESTERN PLAINS REMAIN DRY

Dry conditions in the Southern Plains have increased drought in the region, a concern for winter wheat, especially in the west. A system will develop along a front on Wednesday and will bring some showers to the region into Thursday, but will be mostly light and across the southeast. Dry conditions and above-normal temperatures will increase drought in the region.

BRIEF SHOWERS IN THE DELTA

A front will bring some showers to the Delta on Thursday. Any rainfall will help winter wheat establishment, but could slow the remaining harvest.

GOOD HARVEST WEATHER CONTINUES FOR SOUTHEAST

A front will move through the Southeast on Friday with possible showers, but mostly favorable harvest conditions are expected to continue.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR PACIFIC NORTHWEST

A system that moved through the Pacific Northwest earlier this week brought some scattered showers, but mostly to the higher elevations. Some more showers may be possible late in the week as well. Winter wheat continues to deal with drought before going dormant, but time is running out before it does.

BLACK SEA WHEAT NEARING DORMANCY IN UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS

Periods of showers went through the Black Sea region early this week. Most areas saw only light rain and dryness continues to be a large concern for winter wheat prior to dormancy, which is beginning to occur. Some better showers could move through this weekend into next week, but may be too late to have much of an impact.

SHOWERS BREAKING UP LA NINA PATTERN IN SOUTHERN BRAZIL

A front moving through southern Brazil will bring scattered showers on Thursday and Friday, benefiting corn and soybean development. But the drier pattern across the south is concerning as it does not look to relax and get wetter anytime soon. Daily scattered showers continue to promote good growing conditions in the central states.

BRIEF BREAK IN DRIER LA NINA PATTERN FOR ARGENTINA

A system will bring widespread showers to Argentina Wednesday and Thursday. Another weak front could bring a few showers this weekend. Soil moisture reserves built up during the front half of the month should carry crops through for a little bit, but the overall drier pattern is concerning as only periodic showers along fronts will break it up during the next two weeks.

HEAVY RAIN SLOWING HARVEST IN EASTERN AUSTRALIA

A system is slowly moving through eastern Australia with moderate to heavy rainfall for the next few days. However, after showers move through Thursday and Friday, there could be a somewhat extended period of dryness for most areas before the next system moves in. There is uncertainty with this, however, and showers could linger into next week.

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Get a full rundown on the 2022 outlook for weather affecting U.S. and international crop areas during the DTN Ag Summit, Dec. 5-7, in Chicago. Visit www.dtn.com/agsummit for more details about the summit and to register. Register before Nov. 26 for the early bird rate.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick