Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Scattered showers across the Corn Belt along with the continued La Nina pattern in South America are the weather factors holding the market's attention Wednesday.

SCATTERED MIDWEST SHOWERS

A system will bring scattered showers to the Midwest Wednesday and Thursday and temperatures will fall below normal behind the system. Showers could produce some further delays in a few spots across the north. Additional showers will be possible over southern areas this weekend into early next week, and again with a system passing through in the middle of next week.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

A system is bringing some scattered showers to northern areas of the Southern Plains on Wednesday. Temperatures will be below normal for a few days after the system passes through, but go on a warming trend this weekend into next week. A few showers will be possible over Oklahoma on Thursday. Otherwise, drier weather through the weekend is somewhat concerning for winter wheat establishment, especially if showers do not occur with a system next week.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

A system is bringing some scattered showers mostly to South Dakota on Wednesday with some snow over western areas again. There may be some continued delays for harvest out of these showers, but nothing overly concerning. Temperatures will go below normal for a couple of days after this system passes through but go above normal again this weekend into next week. Some showers may return during the weekend, but an organized system is expected around Tuesday that could have more scattered showers.

MOSTLY DRY IN THE DELTA

A system will pass by to the north of the Delta during the next couple of days and the region should remain mostly dry, benefiting harvest. Some scattered showers may fall over northern areas late this weekend into early next week, which could cause some harvest delays, but benefit winter wheat establishment.

SOUTHEAST SHOWERS RETURNING

Dry weather continues in the Southeast on Wednesday, benefiting harvest. A front will come through with scattered showers that could produce some delays Thursday and Friday before it gets dry again.

BLACK SEA WHEAT IN NEED OF MORE RAIN

Some isolated showers have moved through Ukraine and western Russia recently and continue through the week, but more spots will be dry than get a shower. A front will move through with more scattered showers this weekend before temperatures fall below normal and some frosts develop. Dryness continues to be a concern for winter wheat establishment before lower temperatures settle in for the year and wheat goes dormant.

CENTRAL BRAZIL RAINS CONTINUING

Scattered showers will continue in central Brazil for the next week, benefiting corn and soybean planting and development. Dryness over the south is not concerning for corn or soybeans yet and should benefit winter wheat harvest. A front will bring more showers to southern areas this weekend.

DRYNESS CONCERNS FOR ARGENTINA

Recent dryness in Argentina has been detrimental for corn and soybean planting and emergence, and also for reproductive to filling winter wheat. A front will move through Thursday and Friday with some scattered showers, but coverage does not look to be very widespread and dryness looks to follow again through most of next week.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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