Commodities Market Impact Weather

Front Clearing Midwest on Friday

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Scattered showers clearing the U.S. along with a La Nina type pattern in South America are the weather factors holding the market's attention Friday.

SHOWERS CLEARING EASTERN MIDWEST

A system moving through the Midwest will bring moderate rainfall and potential for severe weather across southeastern areas into early Saturday before leaving. Widespread moderate rain recently has caused delays for corn and soybean harvest and will take some time to dry out as temperatures cool back closer to normal through next week. A system will bring some isolated showers in the middle of next week, but nothing is currently expected to delay harvest any further.

DRY FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

A cold front had gotten stuck across the southeastern Plains where some heavy rainfall and flooding occurred earlier this week. That front is getting pushed eastward Friday and drier weather should follow through the weekend. Rainfall has been fairly good for winter wheat areas except for these areas of flooding from central Texas to southern Missouri.

QUIETER CONDITIONS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Colder temperatures settling into the Northern Plains will only stick around for a couple of days before warmer temperatures come back into the region over the weekend. Temperatures could go back below normal in the middle of next week, but not to any great extent. It may take a while for soils to recover from the past week's heavy rain and snow and allow equipment back into the fields to continue harvest.

DELTA SHOWERS FRIDAY, THEN CLEARING

A front will bring showers to the Delta on Friday that could cause some delays in the cotton and soybean harvest but provide good moisture for winter wheat establishment. Dry weather follows into next week and conditions are mostly favorable for harvest and winter wheat establishment.

SOUTHEAST STAYING DRY

Dry weather continues in the Southeast into next week outside of a few isolated showers with a frontal passage on Saturday. The dryness favors drying soils and harvest.

QUIETER CONDITIONS FOR BLACK SEA

A system moved through Ukraine and northwest Russia with scattered showers this week, but southwestern Russia did not see much in terms of coverage or amounts where it is needed more. Only small, isolated chances for showers continue through next week. Time is running out before colder temperatures settle in for the year and wheat goes dormant.

GOOD RAINFALL FOR BRAZIL

Scattered showers continue for the next week over central Brazil and over southern Brazil through early next week, overall good for full-season corn and soybean planting and establishment. Some drier weather moving into southern areas next week will be favorable for maturing and harvest of winter wheat.

DRYNESS RETURNS TO ARGENTINA

A couple of systems have brought some scattered showers to Argentina this week, but amounts were not enough to reverse much of the dryness that has encompassed the country's primary growing regions. A stretch of drier weather is anticipated through the middle of next week which will continue to stress emerged corn and soybeans and create uneven emergence.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick