Commodities Market Impact Weather

Nicholas Waning, But Still Making an Impact

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

GRAND ISLAND, Neb. (DTN) -- An active pattern with potential for heavy rain next week across the Corn Belt, Tropical Depression Nicholas' heavy rainfall for Louisiana and a stalled front in Brazil are the weather factors holding the market's attention Wednesday.

WATCHING STORM FOR MIDWEST

Isolated to occasionally scattered showers will continue in the Midwest over the next 10 days as a few systems move through while temperatures will continue to be above normal. This will favor maturing corn and soybeans and early harvest. Soil moisture is still favorable for winter wheat planting and establishment as well. A system early- to mid-next week could bring some more widespread heavy showers to the region but that is not certain yet.

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

Some isolated showers will be possible in the Southern Plains through the next week, but most areas should stay dry while temperatures remain well above normal. This will favor maturing corn, soybeans and harvest but deplete soil moisture for winter wheat establishment. A system early next week could bring some more widespread heavy showers to the region but that is not certain yet.

STORM POTENTIAL FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Several systems will move through the Northern Plains over the next 10 days, but showers look to be isolated for the most part. This should favor maturing crops and early harvest, but the drought continues. Showers early next week may be on the heavier side but that is not certain yet.

HEAVY RAIN IN SOUTHERN DELTA

Tropical Depression Nicholas and its remnants could bring heavy rainfall to southern portions of the Delta through Thursday which could cause damage to maturing cotton and soybeans. Otherwise, isolated showers will be possible through the next week.

SOUTHEAST RAINS INCREASING

Tropical Depression Nicholas could bring heavy rainfall to portions of the Southeast this week. Otherwise, isolated showers over the next week will be possible and could affect maturing cotton as well.

SHOWERS COMING BACK TO THE BLACK SEA

Dry weather this week in the Black Sea has favored maturing and harvest of summer crops, but the region could use more moisture for winter wheat planting and establishment. This is especially true across Russia, where it has been overly dry this summer. Some showers will move through over the weekend and into next week which could help with that.

HEAVY SOUTHERN BRAZIL RAINFALL

Southern Brazil will stay active over the next week as a front remains stalled. This will favor winter wheat and recharge soil moisture for corn and soybeans. Central states are still awaiting the start of the wet season. Soybean planting restrictions lift this week but will need more moisture for seed-to-soil contact in these central areas before planting picks up. Models are suggesting it will stay relatively dry through the end of September with only isolated showers in Mato Grosso at times.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA

Dry conditions are expected for the next week. Winter wheat has gotten some moisture lately but could use more as it gets further into reproduction. And more moisture is needed for corn and soybean planting as well. Some limited showers are possible next week.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick