Commodities Market Impact Weather

Active Pattern North; Nicholas Spins in the Gulf

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- An active pattern bringing periods of showers across the Corn Belt, Tropical Storm Nicholas' potential impact to the Delta and recovery efforts and wet weather in southern Brazil are the weather factors holding the market's attention Monday.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR MIDWEST

Isolated showers moved across the northern Midwest this weekend, but most areas stayed dry while temperatures remained mild to hot. Isolated to occasionally scattered showers will continue over the next 10 days as a few systems move through; temperatures will continue to be above normal. This will favor maturing corn and soybeans and early harvest. Soil moisture is still favorable for winter wheat planting and establishment as well.

DRIER AND HOT IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

Isolated showers moved across the Central Plains this weekend while it remained dry and hot across the south. Some isolated showers will be possible through the next week, but most areas should stay dry while temperatures remain above normal. This will favor maturing corn and soybeans and harvest but deplete soil moisture for winter wheat establishment.

ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Isolated showers moved through the Northern Plains over the weekend but there were a lot of dry areas. Several systems will move through over the next 10 days, but showers look to be isolated outside of activity Monday. This should favor maturing crops and early harvest, but the drought continues.

DELTA LOOKING AT NICHOLAS' TRACK

Dry weather was noted for the Delta over the weekend, favoring maturing soybeans and cotton. We will have to watch the track of Tropical Storm Nicholas as it could bring heavy rainfall to southern portions of the region later this week. Otherwise, isolated showers will be possible through the week.

SOUTHEAST SHOWERS INCREASING

Dry weather was noted over the Southeast this weekend, favoring maturing soybeans and cotton. We will have to watch the track of Tropical Storm Nicholas as it could bring moderate rainfall to portions of the region later this week. Otherwise, isolated showers will be possible through the week.

DRY CONDITIONS IN BLACK SEA

Isolated showers moved through the Black Sea on Sunday but there were many dry areas. Dry weather is anticipated for most areas this week. This will favor maturing and harvest of summer crops, but the region could use more moisture for winter wheat planting and establishment. This is especially true across Russia, where it has been overly dry this summer.

HEAVY SOUTHERN BRAZIL RAINFALL

Southern Brazil will stay active over the next week as another system moves through and a front stalls. This will favor winter wheat and recharge soil moisture for corn and soybean planting. Central states are still awaiting the start of the wet season. Soybean planting restrictions lift this week but will need more moisture for seed-to-soil contact in these central areas before planting picks up. Models are suggesting central areas to stay relatively dry through the end of September with only isolated showers in Mato Grosso at times.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA

Dry weather occurred in Argentina this weekend. There will be some isolated showers early this week, but dry conditions should be the norm. Winter wheat has gotten some moisture lately but could use more as it gets further into reproduction. And more moisture is needed for corn and soybean planting as well.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick