Commodities Market Impact Weather

Heat and Dryness Concern

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Hot and dry conditions spreading across northern and central North America crop regions and continued dry conditions in central Brazil are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Tuesday.

MIDWEST HEAT AND DRYNESS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for very warm to hot conditions to develop in the northern and western Midwest during the first few days of June. This combination keeps drought stress prominent in these sectors of the region. Rain prospects are more favorable in the southeastern sectors of the region, notably the Ohio Valley.

ADDITIONAL SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

Scattered moderate to heavy showers moved through this holiday weekend, benefiting many areas. Some flooding was also a risk across portions of Oklahoma and Texas where showers have been more plentiful since last week. Periods of more scattered showers are expected this week, followed by more rain focusing in eastern areas. Temperatures remain below normal through much of this week, slowing growth for row crops and hindering the final ripening phase for winter wheat.

HOT AND DRY IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Northern Plains crops sustained locally significant damage due to hard freeze conditions during the end of last week. The next five to seven days move the temperature trend to hot with ongoing drought. This combination is leading to projections for lower yields in all crops this season.

ACTIVE DELTA PATTERN

The Delta has periods of rain as a system moves through the region Tuesday and Wednesday and may continue over southern areas through the coming weekend. More widespread showers are likely next week due to an upper-level system moving through.

SCATTERED SOUTHEAST SHOWERS

Scattered showers continue in the forecast for the southeastern U.S. Moisture will be closely tracked for crop benefit.

MINIMAL PRAIRIES MOISTURE

Very little showers are expected in the Canadian Prairies this week. Precipitation chances increase at the end of the week through the 10-day time frame. Temperatures well-below normal last week caused widespread frosts and freezes and likely damage and a need to reseed. Temperatures this week are forecast to be well-above normal but could fall below normal this weekend into next week depending on how far south the cold air can move. More frosts would be possible.

STILL DRY IN CENTRAL BRAZIL

Across Brazil, central crop areas remain dry in the seven-day forecast. The Mato Grosso safrinha corn crop is stressed by this ongoing dryness. Moderate to locally heavy rainfall is forecast mainly in southern areas from Mato Grosso do Sul through Sao Paulo and Parana states.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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