Commodities Market Impact Weather

Colder Pattern Ahead

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Notably colder conditions for the central United States and minimal precipitation for the major corn areas of Brazil are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Thursday.

UNSETTLED MIDWEST PATTERN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for an unsettled pattern in the Midwest through the next week. A stagnant upper-level cutoff storm system continues to bring showers during Thursday. Another system will move through later this week and weekend with more showers. Lower temperatures this week will slow growth on winter wheat and could cause some frost issues all the way through next week for producers who planted early across the north.

SHOWERS AND COLD IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, an upper-level low in the West will bring some more widespread showers through early Saturday, which includes snow in the northwest. This will benefit all areas with increased moisture. Cold air that precedes and follows this system could bring some frost damage to the far western areas but will definitely slow winter wheat growth.

LIGHT NORTHERN PLAINS MOISTURE

Northern Plains drought had only slight easing from recent snow and rain. Colder air spreads over the region during the balance of the week to slow down the planting pace. Light precipitation during the end of the week will focus in the southern portion of the region.

VARIABLE DELTA RAINFALL

Periods of rain will continue in the Delta through the balance of the week. Amounts will be variable, allowing for some resumption of fieldwork and planting.

SOUTHEAST THUNDERSTORMS

In the Southeast, several periods of rain are in store through the end of the week with moderate to heavy precipitation totals. This stormy trend will cause delays in additional fieldwork progress. A couple rounds of showers will be possible this week and weekend and could cause further delays.

GENERAL PRAIRIES DRYNESS

In the Canadian Prairies, recent snow brought only slight easing of drought. Moisture will favor crop germination after seeding; however, the overall theme of dryness is expected to continue into May.

MINIMAL BRAZIL RAIN

Across Brazil, showers may pop up through the weekend and into early next week for central growing areas, but look to be isolated and generally lighter. Stress to developing second-crop (safrinha) corn is expected to continue. A stalled front in southern areas will move northward during the weekend with mostly light showers, stressing safrinha corn here as well.

VARIABLE ARGENTINA RAIN

Argentina's pattern has turned drier to favor harvest progress. Rain returns to the forecast during the next three to seven days which may slow down progress.

LIGHT EUROPE SHOWERS

Primary Europe crop areas have light showers in store through the next 10 days with below-normal precipitation totals. This is concerning for developing wheat.

BLACK SEA SHOWERS

Scattered showers continue in the Black Sea region through the weekend, bringing favorable soil moisture for greening and developing winter wheat in Russia and Ukraine.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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