Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Additional rain in portions of the Midwest and a hot and dry forecast for Black Sea region crop areas are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

MORE MIDWEST RAIN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for continued moderate to locally heavy rain in the Midwest Wednesday. Some flooding is possible with this heavy rain; however, drier areas of the region will have beneficial moisture. Damaging winds are also possible with these storms. The pattern turns drier and cooler during the last half of the week. Crop conditions have a generally favorable outlook with this rainfall.

CONTINUED SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAT

The Southern Plains will continue with a hot and dry pattern through the next 10 days to two weeks. This combination favors winter wheat ripening and harvest; however, some late-stage wheat yield reduction may also occur. Row crop irrigation demand will be high.

LIMITED NORTHERN PLAINS RAIN

In the Northern Plains, a drier period with seasonally mild weather is expected during the next week to 10 days. Dryness may lead to crop stress in western areas, where precipitation is well below normal for the year to date.

DRIER DELTA FORECAST

The Delta has an extensive period of drier conditions in the forecast for the next 10 days to two weeks. Crop stress may develop.

CONTINUED SOUTHEAST RAIN

In the southeastern U.S., periods of rain continue in the forecast through the balance of the week. Scattered moderate showers continue across the region through Wednesday. Additional heavy showers are possible in coastal areas through the weekend.

FAVORABLE PRAIRIES PATTERN

Canadian Prairies crop areas will be dry this week after receiving widespread rain during the past seven days. A new rain system is indicated during the coming weekend. Crop conditions are favorable.

HOTTER AND DRIER BLACK SEA REGION FORECAST

A heat wave in the Black Sea region this week will be stressful to crops. The impact could be especially noteworthy from South Russia through the Volga Valley and farther east into Kazakhstan.

HOT NORTHERN EUROPE FORECAST

Northern Europe has a heat wave in the forecast through the next five to seven days. This hotter trend will be stressful to crops, notably in Germany and Poland. River levels in Germany continue to be low due to very dry conditions during the past few months.

SOUTHERN BRAZIL RAIN FOCUS

In Brazil, rainfall remains confined to Parana and points southward through the week, a benefit to corn and cotton and developing wheat where flooding does not occur. Dryness in the north is favorable for safrinha corn harvest but will be stressful to late-filling crops.

NORTHERN ARGENTINA RAIN

Across Argentina, scattered moderate showers will continue over the north through the week, but southern areas will see little to no showers. Soil moisture is short in the central and south outside of Buenos Aires and some stress to emerging wheat may be occurring.

SHOWERS FOR AUSTRALIA

Australia wheat areas have moderate rain forecast to move west to east across primary wheat areas. This rain system will maintain favorable soil moisture for wheat crop development.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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