Commodities Market Impact Weather

Midwest Rain and Snow

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Rain and snow to keep Midwest soils very wet, and continued dry conditions in Argentina, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

SATURATED MIDWEST SOILS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for periods of rain and snow to keep Midwest soils saturated ahead of the 2020 crop season. A storm system crossing the region will spread moderate to heavy rain over southern areas through Monday and into Tuesday. Some moderate to heavy snow will develop from northeast Missouri through Michigan Tuesday through Wednesday. These two storms will continue the long-term trend for saturated soils. Another system could bring heavy rainfall and some snow early next week.

ACTIVE SOUTHERN PLAINS PATTERN

Southern Plains conditions feature flooding in eastern areas from rain during early week. Western areas have improved soil moisture from the recent rainfall. Snow is likely in western areas through Wednesday. Another round of moisture is indicated during the six- to 10-day time frame. Temperatures are not cold enough to threaten winter wheat.

VARIABLE NORTHERN PLAINS TREND

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In the Northern Plains, snow is in store during early week. Temperatures will be variable, trending warmer by late week. The moderating temperatures may bring some melting of heavy snowpack.

MORE DELTA RAIN

The Delta has renewed rain and flooding during the first part of the week. A few dry days are expected later this week, but another storm could bring heavy rainfall early next week. Very wet conditions look to continue for at least the near term.

ADDITIONAL BRAZIL SHOWERS

The Brazil crop weather pattern again features moderate to heavy rain in central areas through the coming week. Moisture is favorable for the second-crop corn (safrinha). Rainfall systems are not large scale enough to cause extensive disruption in soybean harvest.

MORE ARGENTINA DRYNESS

Argentina conditions remain cool and dry through the coming week. Crops are in need of additional rainfall during their filling stage.

SHOWER CHANCE IN BLACK SEA REGION

Russia and Ukraine continue with above-normal temperatures through the next 10 days. Light to moderate rain is indicated for the region as well. This will be important, notably in Ukraine, where soil moisture is in short supply.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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