Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Effects from a large winter storm system in the central United States, and continued variable rainfall across Brazil, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

MIDWEST RAIN AND SNOW

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for an end to any late Midwest harvest and fieldwork following a stormy weekend with moderate to heavy rain and snow. Transportation and transport were also affected, but should improve during this week.

MOISTURE FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, moderate to heavy rain and snow during the past weekend will benefit winter wheat soil moisture. There are no major concerns for livestock at this time.

STORM HALTS NORTHERN HARVEST

In the Northern Plains, weekend snow and blizzard conditions have brought new stress to livestock and disruption to transportation. In addition, remaining harvest has been stranded until spring.

DRY AND HOT IN SOUTHERN BRAZIL

In southern Brazil, continued heat and dryness is indicated for Rio Grande do Sul and Parana through the next week. Crop stress could be notable, due to soils in Rio Grande do Sul being prone to dry quickly.

VARIABLE BRAZIL RAIN

Across Brazil, southern crop areas have trended drier recently. Showers this coming week may not be heavy enough to ease the drier trend. Central crop areas have mainly favorable growing conditions. Northeast crop areas are still too dry; however, some showers may develop during the next week.

MIXED ARGENTINA RAIN PATTERN

In Argentina's central crop areas, Cordoba and Santa Fe will benefit from significant showers and thundershowers that occurred at the end of last week and during the weekend. This included the previously dry areas of southern Cordoba and northern Buenos Aires. Dryness remains of significant concern over La Pampa, west and southwest Buenos Aires. These locations have had some showers, with light showers and less hot weather expected this week, but more rain is still needed.

WARM PATTERN IN BLACK SEA REGION

In the Black Sea region, recent rainfall and above normal temperatures will help improve soil moisture in winter grains areas of Ukraine and Russia. There is no protective snow cover. This crop would be vulnerable if it were to turn much colder. The temperatures pattern appears more variable in nature during the next week, but no stressful cold is indicated. Precipitation should average near to below normal during the next seven days.

SCATTERED SOUTH AFRICA PRECIPITATION

In South Africa, recent and forecasted rainfall through western and southern maize and southern sugarcane areas will favor development and encourage further planting. Northern and northeastern crop areas are drier and hotter. This is more stressful for earlier-planted crops in these locations.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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