DTN Retail Fertilizer Trends

All Fertilizer Prices Lower for Third Consecutive Week

Russ Quinn
By  Russ Quinn , DTN Staff Reporter
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The average retail price of urea during the first full week of August 2024 was $504 per ton, down $3 per ton from $507 per ton a month ago. Urea is now 13% lower in price than it was a year ago. (DTN chart)

OMAHA (DTN) -- Average retail prices for all eight major fertilizers were down again during the first full week of August 2024, according to sellers surveyed by DTN.

This marks the third week in a row that prices for all fertilizers fell just slightly. DTN designates a significant price move as anything 5% or more.

DAP had an average price of $744 per ton, MAP $818/ton, potash $503/ton and urea $504/ton. 10-34-0 had an average price of $640/ton, anhydrous $675/ton, UAN28 $338/ton and UAN32 $376/ton.

On a price per pound of nitrogen basis, the average urea price was at $0.55/lb.N, anhydrous $0.41/lb.N, UAN28 $0.60/lb.N and UAN32 $0.59/lb.N.

Fertilizer Canada is calling on the Canadian federal government and Labor Minister Steven MacKinnon to take immediate action to assist the CN Railway, the Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) and Teamsters Canada Rail Conference (TCRC) to prevent a rail strike, which already has affected the flow of fertilizer, according to a news release from Fertilizer Canada.

On Monday, CN Railway and CPKC issued embargoes immediately halting fertilizer shipments 10 days ahead of an anticipated labor disruption. The threat of a work stoppage has already begun to impact the movement of fertilizer, according to the news release (https://fertilizercanada.ca/…).

"A work stoppage that prevents the transportation of fertilizer will have potentially disastrous effects on crop yields and food security," according to the release.

Fertilizer Canada urges the federal government to amend the Canada Labor Code to strengthen the bargaining process. According to polling, three in four Canadians (75%) agree this needs to be done to strengthen the bargaining process for those working in Canada's supply chains to prevent disruptions and their consequences.

Karen Proud, president and CEO of Fertilizer Canada, said the long-lasting and cascading impacts of labor disruptions are felt before and after the stoppage takes place.

"Farmers around the world rely on Canada's fertilizer industry to maximize crop yields and the fertilizer industry relies on rail to get our products to market," Proud said.

Seventy-five percent of all fertilizer produced and used in Canada is moved by rail. There are very limited alternatives to rail to ship fertilizer products.

Canadian, American and international farmers rely on Canadian fertilizer to maximize crop yields. Fertilizer is responsible for half of the world's current food production, according to the news release.

DTN Cash Basis Analyst Mary Kennedy wrote about the possible rail strike in her Market Matters Blog on Monday of this week (https://www.dtnpf.com/…).

All fertilizers but two are lower compared to one year ago. Both MAP and anhydrous are now 7% more expensive looking back to last year.

The remaining six fertilizers are lower. DAP is 2% less expensive, UAN32 is 6% lower, UAN28 is 8% less expensive, 10-34-0 is 10% lower, potash is 11% less expensive and urea is 13% lower in price compared to a year prior.

DTN gathers fertilizer price bids from agriculture retailers each week to compile the DTN Fertilizer Index. DTN first began reporting data in November 2008.

In addition to national averages, MyDTN subscribers can access the full DTN Fertilizer Index, which includes state averages, here: https://www.mydtn.com/….

All retail fertilizer prices were lower last week, although none were down a significant amount, which DTN designates as 5%. You can read about it here: https://www.dtnpf.com/….

DRY
Date Range DAP MAP POTASH UREA
Aug 7-Aug 11 2023 758 764 566 576
Sep 4-8 2023 738 745 518 563
Oct 2-6 2023 705 791 508 573
Oct 30-Nov 3 2023 713 801 508 573
Nov 27-Dec 1 2023 715 820 518 552
Dec 25-29 2023 721 812 514 536
Jan 22-26 2024 734 809 509 527
Feb 19-23 2024 749 812 506 534
Mar 18-22 2024 778 823 506 574
Apr 15-19 2024 780 830 513 585
May 13-17 2024 789 829 511 556
Jun 10-14 2024 779 827 507 525
Jul 8-12 2024 758 822 504 507
Aug 5-9 2024 744 818 503 504
LIQUID
Date Range 10-34-0 ANHYD UAN28 UAN32
Aug 7-Aug 11 2023 714 634 369 400
Sep 4-8 2023 611 693 356 390
Oct 2-6 2023 609 790 354 414
Oct 30-Nov 3 2023 611 826 358 415
Nov 27-Dec 1 2023 595 847 341 409
Dec 25-29 2023 599 792 340 394
Jan 22-26 2024 610 770 335 390
Feb 19-23 2024 615 764 339 393
Mar 18-22 2024 628 793 358 402
Apr 15-19 2024 641 794 364 418
May 13-17 2024 642 792 364 418
Jun 10-14 2024 642 737 352 400
Jul 8-12 2024 642 696 339 378
Aug 5-9 2024 640 675 338 376

Russ Quinn can be reached at Russ.Quinn@dtn.com

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Russ Quinn