Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Multiple clipper systems moving through the U.S. with snow and reinforcing shots of cold air, and heavy rain in Brazil are the weather factors driving the markets Tuesday.

CLIPPERS CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDWEST

Four clippers will continue to move across the Midwest through this weekend with variable precipitation, but chances for some more moderate snow, breezy winds, and reinforcing shots of cold air. Some warmth is moving through on Tuesday, but a clipper moving through Tuesday night and Wednesday will cause temperatures to fall. Another blast of extremely cold, arctic air is forecast again this weekend. It will be very intense, and some areas may not make it above zero, but it will only last a couple of days with more seasonable air moving in next week.

WARMER IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

The storm track is across the north this week, allowing some warmer air into the Central and Southern Plains. However, a strong cold front will move through on Friday with another blast of colder air. That should be brief though as warmer air moves back in next week. Precipitation is generally not expected, but a few spots could see some light amounts.

MORE ROUNDS OF COLD AIR, HEAVY SNOW FOR THE NORTHERN PLAINS

A clipper will move through the Northern Plains on Tuesday with scattered precipitation, heavy snow in the northeast, and strong winds. Another clipper will move through on Thursday with more precipitation and heavier snow in the southwest and a blast of arctic air behind it. Yet one more clipper could make for some heavy snow in Montana on Friday into Saturday. The cold won't last long with warmer air moving in early next week.

MORE RAIN NEEDED FOR MISSISSIPPI RIVER

Recent precipitation in the Midwest produced a lot of snow, which will slowly leak into the Mississippi River system throughout the winter. Multiple clippers will move through the north this week, keeping the Delta region fairly dry and promoting slow falls in water levels on the rivers.

HEAVY RAIN FELL IN CENTRAL BRAZIL, MORE RAIN THIS WEEK

Heavy rain has fallen in central and northern Brazil over the last week, which has been sorely needed for developing to reproductive soybeans. A stronger system moving through the south on Tuesday is bringing through some widespread rainfall, some of that being heavy and improving soil moisture. Scattered showers will continue across the central and north. Conditions are either favorable or improving.

ARGENTINA GETTING DRIER WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS

A system moved through Argentina on Sunday and Monday, which produced patchy rainfall outside of the north that got some heavier amounts. Though the pattern has been slower with rainfall chances, soil moisture is still favorable after an active spring. A couple of chances for patchy rainfall continue this week, but rainfall is coming at a below-normal pace and next week is forecast to be much drier. Issues with some areas getting too dry for developing corn and soybeans will be a concern with time.

SOUTHERN EUROPE STAYING DRIER, WILL NEED MORE RAIN

An active pattern moving through Europe over the last several weeks has most areas in good shape with soil moisture. For dormant wheat across the north and central, wheat is in good shape. Across the south, some showers will move through Spain, but Italy and the Balkans will be dry. More rain would be favorable here, but there isn't a concern just yet.

DROUGHT STILL A CONCERN FOR PORTIONS OF BLACK SEA REGION

Systems moving across northern Europe will bring some showers through the Black Sea region through the weekend. Dryness and drought are still a major concern this winter as wheat went dormant late and largely in questionable condition. Some southern areas are still too warm for dormancy, with above-normal temperatures continuing this week. The showers here would be beneficial yet.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR EASTERN AUSTRALIA

Soil moisture conditions are mixed in Australia with some areas scattered about that are too dry while some are just fine. Wheat and canola continue to be harvested while cotton and sorghum are being planted and going through early growth. Some showers will be possible in eastern growing areas this week, but very little is forecast elsewhere as conditions will continue trending downward in many areas.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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