USDA Weekly Crop Progress Report

This article was originally published at 3:04 p.m. CDT on Monday, June 16. It was last updated with additional information at 3:59 p.m. CDT on Monday, June 16.

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OMAHA (DTN) -- The condition of the U.S. corn crop increased slightly as soybean conditions decreased last week, with recent rainfall benefitting some areas but stressing others, according to USDA NASS's weekly Crop Progress report released on Monday.

CORN

-- Crop development: 94% of corn had emerged Sunday, 2 points ahead of last year's 92% and consistent with the five-year average.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 72% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition, up 1 point from 71% the previous week and consistent with this time last year. Five percent of the crop was rated very poor to poor, unchanged from the previous week and last year. Eighty-four percent of the corn crop in Iowa is considered good to excellent, Illinois is at 70%, Nebraska is at 73% and Minnesota is at 75% good to excellent.

SOYBEANS

-- Planting progress: Soybean planting moved ahead 3 points to reach 93% complete as of Sunday. That was 1 percentage point ahead of last year's 92% but 1 percentage point behind of the five-year average of 94%.

-- Crop development: 84% of soybeans had emerged as of Sunday, 4 points ahead of last year's 80% and 1 point ahead of the five-year average of 83%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 66% of soybeans that had emerged were in good-to-excellent condition, down 2 points from 68% the previous week and 4 points below 70% last year. The good-to-excellent soybean rating was 80% in Iowa, 63% in Illinois and 74% in Minnesota.

WINTER WHEAT

-- Crop development: 93% of winter wheat was headed nationwide as of Sunday. That's consistent with this time last year and 1 point ahead of the five-year average of 92%.

-- Harvest progress: Harvest moved ahead 6 percentage point last week to reach 10% complete nationwide as of Sunday. That was 15 points behind last year's 25% and 6 points behind the five-year average pace of 16%. Texas' winter wheat is at 56% complete, 5 points behind last's year 61% and 1 point below the five-year average of 57%. Oklahoma made a big jump, with harvest 30% complete compared to 5% last week, but 48 points behind last year's 78% and 16 points behind the five-year average of 46%.

-- Crop condition: An estimated 52% of winter wheat was rated good to excellent as of June 15, down 2 points from 54% the previous week and 3 points ahead from 49% a year ago, according to NASS.

SPRING WHEAT

-- Crop development: 89% of spring wheat has emerged, 5 points behind 94% last year and 3 points behind the five-year average of 92%. Four percent of spring wheat was headed, consistent with last year but 2 points behind the five-year average of 6%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 57% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition nationwide, up 4 points from 53% the previous week. Eighty-nine percent of spring wheat in Minnesota is rated in good-to-excellent condition, 70% in South Dakota and 66% in North Dakota.

THE WEEK AHEAD IN WEATHER

An active weather pattern continues across much of the country this week, likely supporting improved crop conditions overall, though some areas may face challenges from either excessive or insufficient rainfall, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.

"Most people are anticipating these crop reports to show increases in crop ratings, and the active weather pattern should indicate that yes, things are at least staying the same if not getting better across most of the country," Baranick said. "But there is some nuance to that. There are strips across the Corn Belt, Southern Plains, Delta, and Southeast where rains have either been too heavy or too light that may cause crop conditions to drop a bit over the last week.

"We've got another active weather pattern here this week and that should again cause crop conditions to generally rise a couple of points. Several disturbances, fronts and systems will move across the country with scattered showers and thunderstorms.

"But there will be some nuance to this, too. Some heavy rain is expected across some of the drier areas of the Corn Belt. But will it be enough? And will some of those wet areas continue to be too wet? The models start to lose their accuracy when we see clusters of them or lines, often called Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs). These MCSs usually have a mind of their own and models are poor at predicting their initiation and development. And the setup for this week is to produce a bunch of them. Much of the time, these MCSs cause heavy rain and severe weather, so just where they occur will be key in how crops develop over the next week.

"On the flip side, some drier conditions are forecast for the southwestern Plains later this week, though that could get tricky, too. If it does stay drier, that could be a good thing for winter wheat harvest progress in these areas.

"Temperatures generally stay near normal for this time of year, but we'll be watching some warmer temperatures out west move eastward through the Plains late in the week and into the Midwest for the weekend. That could be what some of the wetter areas need to help dry out soils. But it could also exacerbate some of the drier or drought areas, too. This little mini heatwave shouldn't last long though, just a couple of days."

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To view weekly crop progress reports issued by National Ag Statistics Service offices in individual states, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov/…. Look for the U.S. map in the "Find Data and Reports by" section and choose the state you wish to view in the drop-down menu. Then look for that state's "Crop Progress & Condition" report.

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Editor's Note: How are your crops looking? Are they better, worse or right on track with USDA NASS' observations this week? Send us your comments, and we'll include them in next week's Crop Progress report story. You can email comments to talk@dtn.com. Please include the location of where you farm.

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National Crop Progress Summary
	This	Last	Last	5-Year
	Week	Week	Year	Avg.
Corn Emerged	94	87	92	94
Soybeans Planted	93	90	92	94
Soybeans Emerged	84	75	80	83
Winter Wheat Headed	93	88	93	92
Winter Wheat Harvested	10	4	25	16
Spring Wheat Emerged	89	82	94	92
Spring Wheat Headed	4	NA	4	6
Cotton Planted	85	76	89	90
Cotton Squaring	19	12	21	17
Cotton Setting Bolls	3	NA	5	3
Sorghum Planted	69	54	78	75
Oats Emerged	95	91	95	95
Oats Headed	49	38	49	47
Barley Emerged	89	80	87	92
Barley Headed	5	NA	4	7
Rice Emerged	97	93	96	96
Rice Headed	6	NA	5	4
Peanuts Planted	95	90	95	95
Peanuts Pegging	13	NA	13	11
Sunflowers Planted	78	58	80	78

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National Crop Condition Summary
(VP=Very Poor; P=Poor; F=Fair; G=Good; E=Excellent)
	This Week						Last Week						Last Year
	VP	P	F	G	E		VP	P	F	G	E		VP	P	F	G	E
Corn	1	4	23	59	13		1	4	24	58	13		1	4	23	57	15
Soybeans	2	5	27	56	10		1	4	27	58	10		1	4	25	58	12
Winter Wheat	6	13	29	45	7		5	11	30	46	8		6	11	34	40	9
Spring Wheat	NA	9	34	53	4		NA	9	38	50	3		1	3	20	68	8
Rice	NA	2	24	55	19		NA	3	20	54	23		1	2	14	67	16
Oats	6	10	28	47	9		8	8	32	46	6		6	5	22	57	10
Barley	1	12	42	43	2		NA	8	39	49	4		NA	1	24	72	3
Cotton	6	13	33	43	5		10	11	30	43	6		2	11	33	47	7
Peanuts	NA	4	28	61	7		1	5	28	60	6		1	4	31	60	4

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Editor's Note: Get ahead of the herd with the latest insights on the cattle market's changing cycle. Join us on Tuesday, June 24, from 10 a.m. CDT to noon for an in-depth analysis of how weather patterns, trade disruptions, and drought are reshaping the beef industry's traditional 10-year cycle. Oklahoma State University Livestock Marketing Specialist Dr. Derrell Peel shares what the cowherd of the future will look like, while DTN experts share details on weather conditions for forage and pastures, hay market dynamics and what it all means for fat and live cattle prices. Register for free here: https://dtn.link/….

EllaMae Reiff can be reached at ellamae.reiff@dtn.com

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