Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Waffling temperatures and strong systems moving through the U.S., scattered showers in southern Brazil and rain missing parts of Argentina are the weather factors driving the markets Monday.

MIDWEST SEEING STRONG COLD FRONTS IN WARMER PATTERN

Some light to moderate snow moved through eastern areas of the Midwest Friday into Saturday, but quickly melted in the above-normal temperatures that followed. Extreme warmth continues early this week ahead of a strong cold front that will move through Tuesday and Wednesday. Widespread showers, including some light snow, will move through. Winds will be strong and temperatures will drop significantly behind the front. That will only last about a day or so before temperatures pop right back up well above normal again for Thursday or Friday. Another big storm system is forecast to move through early next week as well and could have similar impacts.

LIMITED SHOWERS IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

It was very warm and dry in the Central Plains over the weekend. A strong cold front will move through on Tuesday with limited showers, strong winds and a quick burst of cooler air. That won't last long as temperatures soar back above normal again on Thursday. A secondary piece to the storm should bring some showers across the south on Thursday. Warm temperatures again could be significant going through the weekend but another strong system will move through Sunday and Monday. That system will likely bring areas of heavier precipitation, including the potential for heavy snow across the north, strong winds and another drop in temperatures, settling into a more seasonable range.

SHARP COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN PLAINS

It was mostly warm and dry in the Northern Plains over the weekend, though there were some isolated showers on Sunday. A much stronger system and cold front will push through the region on Monday and Tuesday. Areas of snow are expected, along with a band of moderate to heavy snow in the northwest. Temperatures will fall dramatically behind this front but only last for about two days before they pop back up again above normal by Thursday. The active weather pattern continues this weekend with another big storm system moving through with a mix of rain and snow and another drop in temperatures.

GOOD SOIL MOISTURE IN THE DELTA

It was dry in the Delta over the weekend. A cold front will move through with some isolated showers on Wednesday and more showers will follow behind it on Thursday night into Friday. Another system will move through with more showers early next week. Soil moisture continues to be much improved ahead of spring planting.

MIXED SHOWERS IN BRAZIL

Wet season showers in central Brazil continued over the weekend but they'll be isolated this week. That won't last for long though as they fill back in this weekend. Southern areas saw showers increasing on Sunday and will see waves of showers through Thursday as a front waffles around the region. Showers are forecast to be more sporadic and shifting next wee but fairly widespread, which should help with the long-season crops in the south and the safrinha corn in the central.

SLIGHTLY ACTIVE PERIOD FOR ARGENTINA

Scattered showers fell across northern Argentina with a somewhat stalled front this weekend. That front will waffle around northern areas through Wednesday. Smaller disturbances will move through southern Argentina this week with more muted shower potential with a better shot this weekend. Showers are not perfect but as long as they keep coming with enough frequency, crop conditions may not fall from the overall good ratings currently enjoyed in the country. Some spots may be missed, however.

ACTIVE IN EUROPE

A large storm system started to bring waves of showers across most of Europe over the weekend. The main low will move into the Mediterranean and continue showers there throughout the week. More systems will try to follow a similar path later this week and next week, which would be beneficial for Spain and Italy, but be too wet in France and the UK. Temperatures continue to be much warmer than normal across the eastern half of the continent, promoting early awakening from dormancy and growth.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com.

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