Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Warmer temperatures and a somewhat active streak to close out winter in the U.S., scattered showers in central Brazil and the return of rain in Argentina are the weather factors driving the markets Wednesday.

WARM AND WET FOR MIDWEST

Well-above-normal temperatures this week will mean that a system coming through the Midwest Wednesday night and especially Thursday will spread rain across the southern half of the region. A smaller clipper system may bring showers to eastern areas this weekend. A larger storm will move through Tuesday and Wednesday of next week with widespread precipitation including thunderstorms and snow. A temperature drop will only be brief as they rise again a day or two later.

LIMITED SHOWERS IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

A system will move through the Central and Southern Plains Wednesday night and early Thursday with some limited showers. Otherwise, it should be dry through the weekend. A larger system will move through early next week with potential for widespread precipitation, including potential for some snow, and a brief drop in temperatures before they rise a day or two later.

WARM WITH STORM COMING FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

It should be mostly warm and dry in the Northern Plains throughout the weekend. A larger storm system is likely to move through early next week with widespread precipitation possible, including some snow. Temperatures will dip only briefly before becoming above normal again later next week.

GOOD SOIL MOISTURE IN THE DELTA

A system will move through the Delta on Thursday with scattered rain showers and a larger storm will move through next Wednesday, likely with more showers. The region continues to see the building of soil moisture ahead of spring planting.

HEAVY SHOWERS IN CENTRAL BRAZIL

Wet season showers in central Brazil have been heavy recently. Southern areas have seen only isolated amounts. Heavy rain is preferred as most of the safrinha corn planting has been completed and the region lacks subsoil moisture. Southern areas could use more rainfall, however. Scattered showers continue in central states through this weekend before becoming isolated. A front coming north from Argentina will bring heavier showers this weekend into next week for southern areas.

RETURN OF ACTIVE PERIOD FOR ARGENTINA

A front moving through Argentina on Thursday should bring some needed showers and another Sunday into Monday should do something similar. A more active pattern is forecast into early March, favorable for reproductive to filling corn and soybeans.

MORE ACTIVE IN EUROPE AGAIN

A large storm system will move through Europe starting on Wednesday with widespread impacts throughout the continent in several waves going into next week. In addition to widespread precipitation, temperatures will drop across the continent's western half, but only back to normal.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com.

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