Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Continued warmth across the U.S. but several systems moving through, continued good weather in most of Brazil, and a return of rain to Argentina are the weather factors driving the markets Tuesday.

NEAR-RECORD WARM FOR MIDWEST

It continues to be very warm in the Midwest and any remaining snow continues to melt, boosting soil moisture in a lot of areas. A system will go through Thursday with scattered showers, and another will move across southern areas this weekend. The latter storm could bring a mix of rain and snow to some areas. Temperatures behind that system will decrease, but still stay seasonably mild.

STORMS COMING THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

A system moved through the Central and Southern Plains with areas of heavy precipitation over the weekend. Significant snow fell in the far northwest near the mountains. A system will move through on Wednesday and Thursday with scattered showers, and another will move through southern areas this weekend that could have a mix of heavy rain and snow. Long-term deficits remain in some areas but continue to have an active pattern that is helping to gradually erase them.

RAIN AND SNOW FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Another storm system will move through the Northern Plains Wednesday and Thursday with a mix of rain and snow, but the snow that falls could be hefty across the north. Recent and forecast precipitation will help to ease some of the recent dryness in the region.

DELTA GETTING EVEN MORE RAIN

A system brought more heavy rain through the Delta region this weekend. Soil moisture is much improved and drought continues to decrease in the region. Water levels along the Mississippi River and local rivers are also much higher, increasing transportation. Scattered showers will move through late week and another storm that could bring heavy precipitation on Sunday.

SHOWERS CONTINUE FOR CENTRAL BRAZIL

Scattered showers should continue across central Brazil for the next week. Southern areas may have to wait until this weekend for more widespread showers to move in, but they could be significant when they do. Rain showers are expected to be of normal intensity across the central, allowing for a normal pace of fieldwork in most areas. Some areas could be too wet, though.

RAIN AND MILD TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO ARGENTINA

Some isolated showers may occur over southern Argentina with a front getting into the region by Wednesday. That front should finally bring good showers to much of the country later this week and weekend while temperatures will fall back to normal as well. The potentially good rainfall is needed to turn around crop conditions after more than two weeks of dry conditions and a week of 100-degree heat.

RAIN COMING BACK TO SOUTHERN EUROPE

It was again dry and warm across southern Europe this weekend while soil moisture falls for vegetative wheat in Spain and Italy. A storm system will move through southern areas later this week with more impulses through next week which will be helpful for reversing the dryness trend. Temperatures will continue to be warm with no threat of an arctic freeze.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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