Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Two big storm systems and a blast of arctic air in the U.S., plus continued good weather in most of South America, are the weather factors driving the markets Monday.

HEAVY SNOW AND BLIZZARD POTENTIAL FOR MIDWEST FROM TWO STORMS

A storm system scraped through the Midwest Friday into Saturday and brought pockets of light to moderate snow across the south. A much larger storm will go barreling through the region through Wednesday with widespread impacts including heavy rain and snow and potential blizzard conditions. Another large storm will follow a similar path for the end of the week, which could hit the same areas again, and/or hit new ones with risks for more heavy snow and blizzard conditions Thursday night through Saturday. That system will bring a blast of arctic air into the region.

TWO LARGE STORMS MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

A monster storm system is developing in the Central and Southern Plains Monday and will bring potential blizzard conditions to some areas and heavy snow from the Panhandles northeast into eastern Nebraska and northwest Missouri. Yet another large storm is forecast to close out the week and could have large impacts as well. It will also bring in a blast of arctic air that will cause a need for increased feed for livestock and could cause damage to any uncovered wheat. The exact intensity of the cold is still being determined but could last for a week, though it may be hard to get into Texas for a long period of time.

NORTHERN PLAINS GETTING READY FOR POLAR VORTEX

It was quiet in the Northern Plains for most of the weekend with just some light snows in some areas. A large system will miss off to the south early this week but clip southeast South Dakota with some heavy snow. Another storm moving through midweek will bring widespread light snow, but a blast of arctic air. Forecasts continue the harsh cold for about a week before starting to moderate it late next week and weekend. It still looks to be cold and below normal, however, leading to issues for livestock needing increased feed.

MORE RAIN COMING FOR DELTA

A storm brought scattered showers through the Delta over the weekend, heavy in some spots and reducing drought. Two large systems will bring similarly heavy precipitation through the region this week, favorable for further reducing drought and building up water levels in the Mississippi River system.

RAINFALL SPREADING THROUGHOUT BRAZIL

Widespread heavy rain fell over central Brazil this weekend, continuing the trend of heavy rainfall for the region over the past 10 days. Scattered showers will continue in this area all week long, though the coverage and intensity are forecast to lessen later in the week. Those showers will still be in the region, however. Across the south, it was dry over the weekend but a front coming up from Argentina should set off waves of showers in the region this week, favorable for filling soybeans and developing other crops. Some of the areas like Mato Grosso do Sul and Sao Paulo that were dry last week will see much better rainfall this week.

MORE SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA

Widespread scattered showers developed over Argentina this weekend as a front slowly slid northward. The widespread rainfall continues to favor developing corn and soybeans. The front will be somewhat stalled over northern areas through Thursday where heavy rain is forecast. Otherwise, scattered showers will continue to move through the country going into next week.

SOUTHERN EUROPE STAYING ACTIVE

Scattered showers went through southern Europe over the weekend and continue with another storm system this week as well, favorable for vegetative winter wheat in Spain and Italy that had been drier lately. The pattern going forward favors these southern areas with more storm systems next week as well.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com.

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