Commodities Market Impact Weather

Severe Weather Tracking Eastward Wednesday

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A large storm in the U.S., a change in the pattern for next week, and isolated rains in central Brazil are the weather factors driving the markets Wednesday.

MORE SEVERE STORMS MOVING THROUGH MIDWEST

A strong storm continues to move through the Midwest Wednesday with a risk for widespread severe storms and strong winds. It will get much quieter after this storm going into next week. Warmer conditions are also forecast for next week, getting more of the northern snowpack melted and allowing folks to get out into their fields if not too wet.

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS STAYING DRIER

A cold front continues across southeastern areas of the Plains Wednesday with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing, but most areas stayed dry from the system this week. Instead, strong winds whipped through southwestern drought areas, causing blowing dust. Some showers continue over Texas through Friday, but the region will be on a drier path well into next week before the next chance for precipitation enters.

QUICK WARMUP HEADING FOR NORTHERN PLAINS AND CANADIAN PRAIRIES

P[L1] D[0x0] M[300x250] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]

A blizzard is winding down in the Northern Plains and eastern Canadian Prairies Wednesday, which has brought another round of hefty snow to an already heavy snowpack. Winds with the system continue to be strong after the snow ends, continuing blizzard conditions for those with fresh snow. A cool shot follows the system for the next couple of days, but a quick warmup is expected this weekend into next week, which will cause significant melting of the snowpack, but also lead to flooding.

EXTENDED PRECIPITATION IN THE DELTA

More thunderstorms with severe potential move through the Delta on Wednesday. The front to this system will likely stall in the region, continuing showers through Saturday, especially across the south. Wet soil keeps fieldwork and planting slow. Quieter weather next week will help soils drain and allow for more fieldwork.

BRIEF INCREASE IN SHOWERS FOR CENTRAL BRAZIL

Wet-season showers continue to be isolated through central Brazil through April, though may be enhanced later this week by a front moving up from Argentina. Still, precipitation is forecast to be below normal, leaving some concern for enough available soil moisture for developing safrinha corn. The system moving through the south may be able to keep soil moisture in a good position for the rest of the month. Overall conditions for corn thus far are good, but the question is for how long?

QUIETER CONDITIONS IN ARGENTINA

Despite better weather in the last couple of weeks, corn and soybean conditions in Argentina continue to be poor as the rains have been too late to have a positive impact on yield potential. The rains have been able to stabilize crop conditions, however. It will be drier through the weekend. A stronger cold front may move through next week, which would bring more showers and lower temperatures.

COLDER TEMPERATURES CONTINUE FOR EUROPE

Colder air has settled into Europe this week, which is bringing widespread frosty mornings, but should not cause a lot of damage. Areas of mixed rain and snow will develop in the cooler air through the weekend. Spain and Italy continue to be drier. More is needed in these areas while the rest of the continent is in good shape so far this spring.

GOOD GROWING CONDITIONS IN THE BLACK SEA

Periods of showers will continue to move through the Black Sea region for the next week, but also come with cooler temperatures for Ukraine, which may slow development of winter grains. Overall, though, growing conditions are mostly favorable across the region.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

P[L2] D[728x90] M[320x50] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]
P[R1] D[300x250] M[300x250] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]
P[R2] D[300x250] M[320x50] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]
DIM[1x3] LBL[] SEL[] IDX[] TMPL[standalone] T[]
P[R3] D[300x250] M[0x0] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]

John Baranick