Commodities Market Impact Weather

Teresa Deutchman
Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) --- High pressure has built in across much of the Central U.S., leading to a break in the active weather pattern. In Argentina, above-normal temperatures continue but more chances for rain return this week as compared to last week.

QUIETER WEATHER FOR MIDWEST

After the snowfall this weekend, the weather will settle down for the first half of the week as high pressure builds into the area. Later this week, another low-pressure system from the West will provide more rain and snow showers to the area. In the wake of this system, below- to well-below average temperatures will follow into early next week.

ACITVE WEATHER RETURNS LATER IN THE WEEK FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

A few isolated showers are possible early this week, but the main system will move in Thursday and Friday, providing scattered rain and thunderstorms to the area. However, portions of the Central Plains could miss out on the heavier rainfall again as drought conditions persist.

COLD AIR REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS NORTHERN PLAINS AND CANADIAN PRAIRIES

A few systems will move through the Northern Plains and Canadian Prairies this week, providing more snowfall. Below- to well-below normal temperatures will remain across these areas into the end of the week, requiring more input for livestock operations.

FLOODING FOR DELTA, FIELDWORK SLOW

Water levels on the Mississippi River remain high for the foreseeable future due to more forecasted rainfall and thunderstorms during the second half of the week as a strong cold front works through. Some tributaries of the Mississippi in the southern Delta are approaching minor flooding. The heavy precipitation has left the region wet and more difficult to do some early fieldwork.

HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES IN BRAZIL

Scattered showers continue for much of Brazil's growing regions this week outside of Parana and Rio Grande do Sul, where showers will be more limited. Despite recent rains, many areas have made significant progress with regard to soybean harvest and corn planting. However, some areas are behind, somewhat significantly, and will expose more of the corn crop to the dry season, which is forecast start up in April, and frosts that may occur in June. Corn already in the ground will benefit from good soil moisture.

BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN IN ARGENTINA

Periods of isolated to scattered showers are possible across the northern half of Argentina through the middle of the week with drier conditions returning by the end of the week. However, for most areas, the rain is too late to have much of an impact. Additionally, above average temperatures are expected to continue this week, with daytime highs near 100 degrees Fahrenheit when the rains do not occur. The heat will keep stress high for both crops in various stages of growth, but isolated rain showers may provide a little relief to dry conditions.

DRY AND HOT FOR THE START OF THE WEEK IN INDIA

A heatwave will continue across most of India for the start of the week along with mostly dry conditions. As long as precipitation does not occur, daytime highs may exceed 100F. By the second half of the week, temperatures come down a little bit and more chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms return. The heat and limited showers early this week may be stressful for filling winter wheat.

Teresa Deutchman can be reached at teresa.deutchman@dtn.com

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