Commodities Market Impact Weather

Weather Pattern Staying Active in US

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- An active storm track through the U.S., a return to dryness in Argentina, and better rainfall in southern Brazil are the weather factors driving the markets Thursday.

MIDWEST STAYING ACTIVE

Cold temperatures are filling in behind a cold front that moved through on Wednesday. Temperatures will rebound for Friday, only to be put back down over the weekend with another front moving through. That one should have less coverage of precipitation. Another storm system early next week could produce scattered showers as well.

SYSTEMS MOSTLY MISSING CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS DROUGHT

Temperatures continue to fluctuate wildly in the Central and Southern Plains for the next week as cold air from Wednesday is being replaced with very warm air Thursday but will fall again behind a front on Friday. Another pop up and down will come through over the following few days. Showers may occur with each front but are likely to miss the drought areas in the west.

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NORTHERN PLAINS STAYING COLDER

Bursts of cold air are coming down from Canada into the Northern Plains over the next couple of weeks. A system will likely bring a round of snow through the region Friday, which may be moderate.

RIVER LEVELS BOUNCING ON LOWER MISSISSIPPI

The Delta region is staying active over the next ten days with several fronts moving through. Scattered showers accompany the fronts, but are also falling farther north, which will add water to the river system. A boost in water levels is forecast this weekend with levels bouncing around as precipitation continues to add to the system. Widespread improvements are not anticipated, however, as much of the watershed still remains in drought.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS IN BRAZIL

Scattered showers will continue in central and northern Brazil as is typical for this time of year. Southern Brazil is seeing isolated showers fill back as well. A front will come into southern Brazil on Friday and stall, allowing for more precipitation to accumulate going into next week, which would reverse the recent trend of below-normal rainfall at a crucial time for full-season corn that is nearing pollination. It will be more brief for the state of Rio Grande do Sul, however.

TEMPERATURES RISING IN DRY ARGENTINA

Isolated showers will be pushed out of Argentina by a cold front on Thursday. Drier conditions follow going into next week along with a return of heat. Dryness and drought continue to be concerns for all crops until showers become more consistent.

DRIER IN AUSTRALIA

Recent heavy rains in eastern Australia have caused quality concerns for winter wheat and canola over the winter and spring but have also led to forecasts for record yields. Some showers will move through Queensland in a couple of shots this week, but most areas will be drier, helping to reduce soil moisture and improve quality.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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John Baranick