Commodities Market Impact Weather

Heavy Rain for Southeast, Lighter Rain in the Plains

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Good harvest weather in the Corn Belt, heavy rain in the Southeast, and dryness in Argentina are the weather factors driving the markets Thursday.

COLDER AND DRIER MIDWEST

Dry conditions continue in the Midwest through the weekend for most areas, though the remnants of Ian could produce some rain in the far southeastern Midwest. Some showers will move through early next week with a system and cold front combining over the region, but showers should be limited. That will be followed by another burst of cooler air, however. Overall, conditions remain mostly favorable for harvest. Dry spots in some of the winter wheat areas are unfavorable for establishment.

DROUGHT CONTINUES CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

A weak system will move into the Rockies this weekend and continue into early next week, bringing a few showers through northwestern areas. Showers should be very isolated and not have much of an impact on any operations. Conditions continue to be poor for winter wheat establishment and pasture regrowth, but good for corn and soybean harvest.

ISOLATED SHOWERS COMING TO NORTHERN PLAINS

P[L1] D[0x0] M[300x250] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]

A small system will move into the Northern Plains with a few showers on Friday that will last into early next week. Some spots may get some moderate amounts, but most should see light rain. There may be some disruption to ongoing harvest.

GOOD HARVEST CONDITIONS IN THE DELTA

Dry conditions are forecast for the next week in the Delta. Harvest conditions continue to be quite good.

IAN BRINGING HEAVY RAIN TO SOUTHEAST

Tropical Storm Ian may make it back to hurricane strength Thursday or early Friday, then spread its heavy rainfall from eastern Georgia into the Mid-Atlantic Friday into early next week. Heavy rain could mean flooding and damage to maturing crops.

WIDESPREAD RAINS IN BRAZIL

Recent showers have continued to provide good soil moisture for Brazil as planting increases. Scattered showers continue this week for most areas before drying out this weekend. The daily wet season showers in central Brazil will continue afterward, and another front is forecast to bring showers through the region mid- to late-next week.

ARGENTINA STILL DRIER DESPITE SOME SHOWERS

Dryness continues in Argentina, with unfavorable conditions for developing wheat and corn planting. Scattered showers may return next week but forecasts have turned much lighter with the precipitation. The region is in desperate need of more rain and may force producers to change some of their corn acres to soybeans.

BLACK SEA WHEAT CONTINUES TO SEE GOOD MOISTURE

Recent showers have done well to fill soils in the Black Sea region but have also delayed fall harvest. Periods of showers will continue across Ukraine into next week, with more limited rainfall expected in western Russia until next week. Overall conditions are mostly favorable for winter wheat planting and establishment. Showers will disrupt corn harvest, however.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

P[L2] D[728x90] M[320x50] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]
P[R1] D[300x250] M[300x250] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]
P[R2] D[300x250] M[320x50] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]
DIM[1x3] LBL[] SEL[] IDX[] TMPL[standalone] T[]
P[R3] D[300x250] M[0x0] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]

John Baranick