MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Good harvest weather in the Corn Belt, the track of Hurricane Ian, and widespread rains in Brazil are the weather factors driving the markets Tuesday.
SEVERAL COOLER DAYS FOR MIDWEST
A shot of colder air is settling into the Midwest for several days this week, producing some frosts for the next couple of nights. A few showers are remaining around the Great Lakes, but conditions will be mostly favorable for corn and soybean harvest. The remnants to Hurricane Ian are expected to stay south and east of the region.
DROUGHT INCREASING FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS
Warm and dry conditions continue in the Central and Southern Plains for most of this week, unfavorable for winter wheat planting and establishment, as well as pasture regrowth, but favorable for corn and soybean harvest. A weak system will move into the region this weekend and continue into early next week, bringing a few showers through. Otherwise, the dryness and warmth continue.
GOOD HARVEST CONDITIONS IN NORTHERN PLAINS
Dry conditions are likely in the Northern Plains for most of the week with increasing temperatures. A small system will move into the region late this week and continue into next week with a few showers, but good harvest conditions are expected to largely continue.
DRIER IN THE DELTA
Dry conditions are forecast for the next week in the Delta with Hurricane Ian staying well to the east. Harvest conditions continue to be quite good.
SOUTHEAST BRACING FOR IAN
Hurricane Ian will move through the eastern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday with landfall likely in Florida Wednesday night or Thursday. The system will then continue north and northeast through the Southeast, bringing potentially flooding rainfall to mature crops.
WIDESPREAD RAINS IN BRAZIL
Recent showers have continued to provide good soil moisture for Brazil as planting increases. Scattered showers continue this week for most areas before drying out this weekend. The daily wet season showers in central Brazil will continue afterward, however.
CONTINUED DRYNESS IN ARGENTINA
Dryness over the weekend in Argentina continues this week, with unfavorable conditions for developing wheat and corn planting. Scattered showers may return next week, and models are more optimistic about this chance for rain.
MORE RAIN FOR BLACK SEA WHEAT PLANTING
Recent showers have done well to fill soils in the Black Sea region but have also delayed fall harvest. Periods of showers will continue across Ukraine this week, with more limited rainfall expected in western Russia. Still, overall conditions are mostly favorable for winter wheat planting and establishment. Showers will disrupt the corn harvest, however.
John Baranick can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org
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