Commodities Market Impact Weather

Beneficial Crop-Fill Pattern

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Benign conditions for filling row crops and the ongoing prospect for timely rainfall in winter wheat areas ahead of seeding are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Thursday.

BENEFICIAL ROW CROP FILLING PATTERN

The DTN Ag Weather forecast calls for mostly seasonal temperatures and light showers across the Midwest during the next seven days. This combination is favorable for filling row crops following showers and thunderstorms earlier in the week. Western Midwest areas need follow-up rainfall but have seen conditions improve following rainfall earlier this week.

CONTINUED SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN POTENTIAL

Southern Plains crop areas have continued prospects for moderate to heavy rain during the next seven days. Forecast coverage is most extensive in Texas and Oklahoma. This feature will be closely tracked for indications of improved soil moisture ahead of seeding the next winter wheat crop.

VARIABLE NORTHERN PLAINS SHOWERS

Light showers are indicated over the Northern Plains during the next seven days. Some delay to wheat harvest may occur, but extensive disruption is not expected. Heaviest amounts are expected in eastern sectors.

DELTA THUNDERSTORMS

In the Delta, showers and thunderstorms are forecast over the next week with moderate to heavy rain totals. The rain will mainly benefit crops, notably filling corn and soybeans.

MORE EXTREME NORTHWEST HEAT

Extreme heat and dryness remain in store across the Northwest over the next week. This pattern will favor wheat harvest but will be stressful to other crops along with pastures, hay and livestock water supplies.

LIGHT PRAIRIES MOISTURE

Scattered light to moderate showers will cover the Canadian Prairies over the next few days. Conditions will be generally favorable for wheat and canola crops along with pastures and hay.

COOL SOUTH AMERICA PATTERN

Below to much below normal temperatures are forecast for central and southern Brazil through northern Argentina through the weekend. This chilly pattern has the potential to bring freeze conditions to wheat areas and will be closely watched.

HOT AND DRY IMPACT IN EUROPE

Extreme heat and dryness have caused widespread stress to most crop areas of Europe. In addition to crop moisture loss, drought has sapped river levels in the Rhine, Danube and Po systems. This low water level is unfavorable for transportation. Precipitation outlooks indicate only light showers over the next week.

MIXED BLACK SEA FORECAST

In the Black Sea region, Ukraine crop areas have seasonal temperatures with periods of showers for useful crop moisture in the forecast. In contrast, Russia will be drier, with favorable wheat harvest conditions but some concern for row crop moisture.

SOUTHEAST AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

Australia growing regions have a favorable pattern for developing wheat. Periods of showers will cross the continent over the next week with most rain in southeast Australia.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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