Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A cold front bringing brief relief from the heat and scattered showers to the country's growing regions are the weather factors driving the market Friday.

MIDWEST RAINS CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK

A front has stalled out near the Ohio River, with showers continuing through Saturday. Some of these could cause flooding. Another front will move through the Midwest this weekend into early next week with more scattered showers and a brief break from the heat. Temperatures increase again later next week, more so for western areas than in the east, where dryness and stress continue to be higher.

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS WELCOMING COLD FRONT

A front that moves through this weekend into the middle of next week will bring temperatures down several degrees and offer some limited showers, a brief reprieve from hot and dry conditions this week. But temperatures will rise again in the middle of next week, causing stress to plants and animals.

LIMITED RAIN IN NORTHERN PLAINS

A front moving through the Northern Plains will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms through the weekend. Temperatures will cool below normal for a few days after the front goes through, but temperatures will rise above normal again next week. Dryness follows as well, with another chance for showers with another front next weekend. With limited showers moving through and overall above-normal temperatures, soil moisture is declining for many areas.

ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR DELTA UNTIL NEXT WEEK

Some isolated showers will be in the Delta through the weekend, but most areas will stay dry. When showers are not around, temperatures will be high, causing more stress. A front will sag through the region next week with scattered showers and another respite from the overall heat that continues to be a concern for the region through August.

PACIFIC NORTHWEST HEATING BACK UP NEXT WEEK

The Pacific Northwest could still use some moisture for filling spring wheat but will not see much in the next couple of weeks. Temperatures will rise again this weekend and the heat will continue through most of next week. Soil moisture continues to decline, causing crop conditions to drop for the rest of the season even though they are mostly excellent currently. Conditions are favorable for winter wheat harvest, however.

CANADIAN PRAIRIES DRIER UNTIL LATE NEXT WEEK

A system moving through the Canadian Prairies is bringing some cooler temperatures to the region for a few days. Another system moves through late next week, but this offers better chances for more widespread showers. Between the systems, it will be drier with temperatures rising next week. Outside of the drier areas in the southwest which could use a bit more moisture, conditions are mostly favorable for filling wheat and canola.

FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHERN BRAZIL WHEAT

A front is stalling over southern Brazil and will bring scattered showers through the middle of next week, keeping soil moisture high as wheat continues to move into reproduction. The showers may get into the states of Parana and Mato Grosso do Sul next week, which could disrupt the remaining corn harvest in these areas.

ARGENTINA WHEAT LACKING SOIL MOISTURE

A system brought showers to northern Argentina this week but missed the primary wheat areas in the south which are more in need. These southern areas may get some isolated showers over the weekend with a system developing in the region, but many areas are forecast to remain dry.

HEAT BUILDING FOR THE BLACK SEA

An upper-level low is retreating southward into the Black Sea this weekend, putting an end to the showers that continued all week long in the region. A front will move into northwestern areas over the weekend and stall, with limited showers through the front half of next week. Conditions continue to benefit reproductive to filling corn and sunflowers, but have made it more difficult for wheat harvest. Temperatures are increasing and will remain high through next week in most areas, which will hasten crop development and could turn some areas drier where soil moisture is only marginally favorable. Otherwise, conditions continue to be good for sunflowers and corn and are improving for winter wheat harvest.

HEATWAVE IN EUROPE CONTINUES

Heat across much of the Europe this week has caused more stress to summer crops. A cold front moving across northern areas will bring temperatures down for the next few days, but heat could build right back in next week. Heat and a lack of showers will stress corn areas, though wheat will continue to have more favorable harvest conditions.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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