Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Short-term Midwest heat stress, favorable rain chances in northern crop areas, and favorable safrinha corn harvest conditions in Brazil are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention.

SHORT-TERM MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for extreme and stressful heat in the Midwest during the next two days. Heat index values greater than 100 Fahrenheit will be unfavorable for pollinating corn and flowering soybeans. The next seven to ten days bring some moderation to temperatures along with rain chances in northern and eastern portions of the region. This would be important rainfall after this hot period.

MORE SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAT

Hot and dry conditions remain in effect over most of the southern Plains during the next week to ten days. Recent rainfall has been beneficial to crops in central and eastern Kansas. Elsewhere, there is no relief from the heat stress. Austin, Texas has already recorded 22 days of temperatures reaching at least 100 degrees Fahrenheit, the most in recorded history.

NORTHERN PLAINS SHOWERS

Northern Plains crop areas have periods of light to moderate rain showers in the seven-day forecast. Rainfall will combine with seasonal to below normal temperatures to generally favor progress of spring wheat, corn and soybeans.

DELTA HEAT

Mostly light rain and hot temperatures highlight the seven-day forecast for the Delta. This may lead to stress in corn, soybean and cotton crops.

WARM WITH SHOWERS IN SOUTHEAST

In the Southeast, several periods of rain continue in the forecast through the next week with moderate. This stormy trend will generally be favorable for row crops and cotton.

PRAIRIES RAINFALL

Canadian Prairies crop areas have near to below normal temperatures and several occurrences of showers and thunderstorms indicated in the seven-day forecast. This combination is favorable for most crop areas.

DRY CENTRAL BRAZIL FORECAST

Central Brazil continues with dry and very warm to hot conditions, favorable for safrinha corn harvest. Brazil ag agencies project total corn production this year to be more than one-third greater than last year's drought-affected corn crop.

ARGENTINA SHOWERS

Argentina's crop areas have light to locally moderate rain showers in store for the next week. This will offer some easing of drought conditions. Winter wheat would benefit the most if this pattern verifies.

EUROPE HEAT AND DRYNESS

Western Europe has hot and dry conditions in its ten-day forecast. The dry pattern is in place for possibly the next ten-day to two-week period. A very warm pattern is also well-established in the continent. An example of the abnormal warmth is noted from a snow monitoring station in the Austrian Alps, where snow has melted at the 10,000-foot altitude level. It is the earliest snow melt on record and comes six weeks earlier than the previous early record.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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