MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Drier weather for portions of the Corn Belt, dry conditions in central Brazil, and a heat wave in Europe are the weather factors holding the market's attention Monday.
EASTERN MIDWEST WARM AND DRY
A front moving through the northwest corner of the Midwest will remain parked there through much of the week, offering chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms. Heat and dryness to the east is likely to promote more planting opportunities. The system will slowly pinwheel eastward this weekend into next week, cutting temperatures back and offering occasional showers. It is unclear if the upcoming spreading of showers will be enough to limit planting but could be a nuisance for some.
LIMITED SHOWERS FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS
Hot temperatures and occasional rain and thunderstorms will move through the Southern Plains throughout the course of the week. All areas will have chances for brief showers. Drought remains a mainstay in the southwest, which continues to have negative impacts for developing wheat. Showers this week will only have limited benefits.
COLD AND WET IN PACIFIC NORTHWEST
A cold trough over the Pacific Northwest and several disturbances within it will keep temperatures cooler and showers around for the next week. Showers are unlikely to produce widespread issues for remaining planting or decrease drought in the region. Colder temperatures will limit wheat growth, however.
WET WEATHER FOR NORTHERN PLAINS
The Northern Plains will be on the edge of warm and cold weather through the week, as systems will move through the region with scattered showers through Saturday until drying out. Limited planting is likely through the week but is more likely to increase next week.
PLANTING WINDOWS OPEN IN DELTA
A frontal boundary will remain parked well to the west of the Delta this week, bringing in hot and dry conditions. This should promote additional spring planting. The frontal boundary will eventually move through the region this weekend, bringing in relatively cooler temperatures and some showers. If the front gets held up in the region next week, we could see several rounds of showers.
SOIL MOISTURE CRITICAL IN CENTRAL BRAZIL
Soil moisture continues to decline in central Brazil as corn goes through pollination and grain-fill with critical available moisture. Southern Brazil will see a couple of opportunities for some showers over the next week, which will be helpful for some of the crop, and keep soils from getting too dry overall. We will have to watch temperatures behind a system next week, as there could be some localized frosts in some areas.
DRYNESS NOT YET CONCERNING FOR ARGENTINA WHEAT
Dry weather will continue for most of Argentina throughout the week. Despite a couple of systems moving through, spotty showers are likely to be limited to the far south wheat areas and northwestern corn and soybean areas. Showers are unlikely to add to the soil moisture profile for wheat development or hinder much of the corn and soybean harvest. Colder temperatures this weekend into next week could mean localized frosts again.
OCCASIONAL SHOWERS IN BLACK SEA
Conditions are favorable for winter wheat development and are fair for corn planting in the Black Sea region. A couple of storm systems moving through this week should add to soil moisture in some areas but will miss others. Overall, conditions are fair.
HEAT WAVE BUILDING IN EUROPE THIS WEEK
More showers are needed across northern Europe as they have turned drier recently. Shower activity will come through occasionally this week, but not as consistently as needed. Scattered showers may make it to France and Italy while missing others. But heat that is building this week will stress those areas that are drier for both reproductive winter crops and developing spring crops.
John Baranick can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org
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