Commodities Market Impact Weather

Northern Plains Blizzard Potential

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Weather-induced planting delays in the United States and dryness across central Brazil are the weather factors holding the market's attention on Wednesday.

PLANTING DELAYS CONTINUE FOR MIDWEST

Two storm systems will move through the Midwest during the next week, bringing scattered showers through the region. That will make it difficult for fieldwork and planting. Though temperatures will be on a warming trend into the weekend, lower temperatures will arrive behind another cold front for next week, keeping soil temperatures sub-optimal for this time of year.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS WHEAT

Two systems will move through the Southern Plains during the next week. Chances for precipitation in western areas are low, but not zero. Northern and eastern areas should see rounds of showers, however. Systems will also bring windy conditions that would be unfavorable in drier soils. Drought continues to have negative impacts on much of the region.

COLD AND WET IN PACIFIC NORTHWEST

Below-normal temperatures continue across the Pacific Northwest through the rest of the week as well as some periods of showers. The moisture continues to favor increases for wheat already in the ground, while damp and cold conditions will make planting spring wheat more difficult.

ANOTHER BLIZZARD POSSIBLE FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Heavy snow cover in the Northern Plains will take a long time to melt away. A storm system moving through on Wednesday is bringing some isolated showers through the region, but a system moving through this weekend may dump more heavy snow on western areas. Rain that comes in ahead of it could cause some flooding issues in the heavy snowpack with water having limited ways of absorbing into soils.

DELTA GETTING SOME DRIER WINDOWS

A couple of systems will move through the Delta during the next week, but much of the precipitation looks to fall north into the Midwest. While showers will make it difficult to plant at times, that will be surrounded by drier stretches that should make for some better fieldwork and planting windows.

CENTRAL BRAZIL CORN SUFFERING AS DRY SEASON BEGINS

Central Brazil has entered the dry season about two weeks early and declining soil moisture well ahead of the start has developing to pollinating corn in a difficult situation. Southern areas have seen better precipitation in April and more showers are expected to move through late this week and again next week, favoring developing to pollinating corn.

SHOWERS MOVING BACK INTO ARGENTINA

Recent dryness in Argentina has been unfavorable for the remaining filling corn and soybeans, as well as limiting soil moisture for planting wheat. Periods of scattered showers are expected going through most of next week. Showers at this point in the season will have limited positive effects for corn and soybeans while hampering the ongoing harvest. Wheat areas are more favored as planting gets underway.

PERIODS OF SHOWERS FOR BLACK SEA

An upper-level system continues to bring beneficial scattered showers to the Black Sea region through the rest of the week, increasing soil moisture for wheat, but making it difficult to plant corn. Another system or two will move at least across Ukraine this weekend into next week with more showers.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick