Commodities Market Impact Weather

Big Storm Moving Through

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Widespread showers moving through the country and favorable rainfall in southern Brazil are the weather factors holding the market's attention Monday.

MORE PRECIPITATION COMING TO MIDWEST

A cold front brought some isolated showers but mostly colder air to the Midwest over the weekend. A system will move through Tuesday through Thursday with widespread showers, including some accumulating snow. Soils that remain a bit too wet will likely remain so this week. Another system will pass by to the south this weekend but may bring additional showers to southern areas. Below-normal temperatures will be the norm for most of the week and going into next week as well. Growth on winter wheat will be slower as well as warming for soils.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS WHEAT

The Southern Plains were dry over the weekend. A system will bring scattered showers through the region, but they will only be locally moderate outside of southeastern areas that have seen much better rainfall recently. Another system will bring some light showers through Friday into early Saturday, but again will be weaker in intensity. Drought remains a large obstacle to good yields for winter wheat, and for good germination once producers start planting corn and soybeans.

OCCASIONAL SHOWERS IN PACIFIC NORTHWEST

Dry weather occurred in the Pacific Northwest over the weekend. Scattered showers will move through on Monday and a few more chances will follow going into April, maintaining or improving soil moisture in drought areas.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Mostly dry weather occurred in the Northern Plains over the weekend with below-normal temperatures. A system will bring scattered light showers through the region Tuesday, but most areas are not forecast to see much precipitation, especially in the drought areas. There are several chances for lighter precipitation to continue in the region for the next week, however.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR SOUTHERN BRAZIL

Scattered showers moved out of southern Brazil and into central areas over the weekend, where they subsequently weakened. Consistent, but isolated, showers will remain in central areas over the next week, favoring developing safrinha corn in some areas, but being too dry for others that will draw out more soil moisture. A front will move through southern areas on Wednesday and Thursday with a good round of showers before that front, too, weakens as it moves north. Areas in the south have had improving soil moisture conditions for early safrinha corn growth.

BRIEF SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA

Dry weather was noted in Argentina over the weekend. A front will quickly move through the country Tuesday with isolated showers becoming scattered when they get into far northern areas. This will be followed by another week or so of dryness before another system moves through, likely with a brief shot once again. Limited moisture will be unfavorable for late-planted corn and soybeans in most cases.

BLACK SEA SHOWERS LATE WEEK

Scattered showers moved through the Black Sea region over the weekend along with above-normal temperatures, coaxing more of the winter wheat out of dormancy. Precipitation over the winter has been above normal and should set up plants in favorable shape for development. There are some chances for more showers later this week and weekend.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick