DTN Ag Weather Brief
DTN Ag Weather Brief
HIGH MON...87 AT 8 MILES WEST OF MILES CITY FL
LOW MON...18 BELOW ZERO AT TURNER MT
24 HOUR PRECIPITATION ENDING AT 6PM CT MONDAY... SALEM OR 1.93 INCHES
US OUTLOOK AND MODEL DISCUSSION 6-10 DAY PERIOD:There is a trough moving through the Gulf of Mexico, another in Canada, and a larger one off the West Coast. The troughs in the Gulf and Canada will move east over the next few days while the one off the West Coast will intensify as it moves onshore and combines with the polar vortex. The vortex will send a couple of pieces of energy through the rest of the country late this week through next week.
The U.S. and European models are in fair agreement with the upper-level pattern, but develop each trough and disturbance a little differently. I will use a blend but favor the European.
For the outlook period, temperatures on Sunday will be well below normal in the Northwest and above normal in the South and Southeast. Colder temperatures will occasionally spread southward through the Plains and Upper Midwest as systems move through. A system will move out of the West and through the Plains and Midwest over the weekend with scattered showers. The system should leave a front across the middle of the country that will remain active as another system or two forms along it next week.
MAJOR WORLD HIGHLIGHTS/IMPACT:NORTHERN PLAINS (LIVESTOCK): A system will move through with light to moderate snow over the north Tuesday. A more potent storm should move through late week with some showers but strong winds. Cold air from the Arctic will spill into the region next week.
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS (LIVESTOCK/WINTER WHEAT) The west has remained dry with declining conditions for wheat and increasing drought. Despite an active pattern with systems moving through, chances for precipitation through the end of the year are low, especially in the west that needs it most.
MIDWEST (WINTER WHEAT): An active pattern will bring a few storm systems through the region over the next 10 days. Precipitation may be limited until a system goes through Friday into Saturday and another goes through next week.
Cold air from the Arctic may spill into the region at times next week.
PACIFIC NORTHWEST (WINTER WHEAT): An active upper-air pattern will produce periods of showers through the end of the year, helping to increase moisture for dormant wheat.
BRAZIL (CORN/SOYBEANS): A few isolated showers will move through southern areas through Wednesday, but dryness returns and amounts are forecast to be low.
Conditions for corn and soybeans will continue to decline in the south.
Conditions for reproductive to filling soybeans in central and northern areas continue to be very favorable.
P[L1] D[0x0] M[300x250] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]
ARGENTINA (CORN/SOYBEANS): Isolated showers will continue through Wednesday, then most areas should be dry for the following week, though there may be a few more isolated showers in southeastern areas on Friday. Overall crop conditions are expected to decline as early-planted crops get closer to or into reproduction. Planting continues to be slow as producers try to wait for better precipitation and soil moisture, though prospects through January are not good.
EUROPE (WINTER WHEAT): A system is bringing some showers to Spain early this week and will eventually spread through the rest of the continent later in the week. The pattern will turn active again this weekend through next week.
AUSTRALIA (WINTER WHEAT/CANOLA/COTTON/SORGHUM): Some isolated showers will be possible throughout the week, but for the most part are not concerning for wheat and canola harvest. Conditions are good for developing cotton and sorghum as well.
EXPANDED SUMMARIES FORECASTS:Midwest (corn, soybeans and winter wheat)
Summary:
West: Snow north overnight. Temperatures near to above normal.
East: Mostly dry. Temperatures near to above normal.
Forecast:
West: Scattered showers north Tuesday. Mostly dry Wednesday. Isolated showers north Thursday. Scattered showers Friday-Saturday. Temperatures near to above normal through Wednesday, well above normal Thursday-Saturday.
East: Scattered showers north Tuesday. Mostly dry Wednesday. Isolated showers north Thursday. Scattered showers Friday-Saturday. Temperatures near to above normal through Thursday, well above normal Friday-Saturday.
6- to 10-day outlook: Scattered showers Sunday. Isolated to scattered showers Monday-Thursday. Temperatures above normal Sunday-Monday, below normal northwest and above normal southeast Tuesday-Thursday.
Central and Southern Plains (winter wheat/corn/livestock)
Summary: Isolated showers southeast. Temperatures near to above normal.
Forecast: Mostly dry through Saturday. Temperatures near to above normal Tuesday, above to well above normal Wednesday-Saturday.
6- to 10-day outlook: Mostly dry Sunday-Thursday. Temperatures above to well above normal Sunday-Monday, near to below normal northwest and above normal southeast Tuesday-Thursday.
Brazil Soybeans and Corn...
Rio Grande do Sul and Parana...
Summary: Isolated showers. Temperatures near to above normal.
Forecast: Isolated showers through Wednesday. Mostly dry Thursday-Saturday.
Temperatures near to above normal through Wednesday, near normal Thursday-Saturday.
Mato Grosso, MGDS and southern Goias...
Summary: Scattered showers. Temperatures near normal.
Forecast: Scattered showers through Friday, north Saturday. Temperatures near normal through Saturday.
Argentina Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat...
Cordoba, Santa Fe, Northern Buenos Aires...
Summary: Isolated showers. Temperatures near to above normal.
Forecast: Isolated showers Tuesday. Mostly dry Wednesday-Thursday. Isolated showers east Friday. Mostly dry Saturday. Temperatures near to above normal through Saturday.
La Pampa, Southern Buenos Aires...
Summary: Isolated showers. Temperatures near to above normal.
Forecast: Isolated showers Tuesday. Mostly dry Wednesday-Thursday. Isolated showers east Friday. Mostly dry Saturday. Temperatures near to above normal through Saturday.
(c) Copyright 2021 DTN, LLC. All rights reserved.