Commodities Market Impact Weather

Rising Temperatures Through Next Week

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A briefly stable pattern in the United States, periods of showers across South America, and heavy rain in eastern Australia are the weather factors holding the market's attention Friday.

SNOW FOR NORTHERN MIDWEST

Scattered showers moved through the eastern Midwest on Thursday, but were mostly light. Lake-effect snow showers continue on Friday. And a system this weekend will bring a stripe of snow to northern areas, mostly in Wisconsin and Lower Michigan, which could affect some of those yet to harvest or do fieldwork. Drier and warmer weather is expected for much of next week.

DROUGHT INCREASING FOR SOUTHWESTERN PLAINS

An upper-level low will bring scattered showers to Texas on Saturday, but remain south of much of the primary growing areas in the Southern Plains for winter wheat. Drought is likely to expand as dryness lasts through next week.

DRIER IN THE DELTA

A front brought scattered light to moderate showers in the Delta on Thursday. The region will be fairly dry through next week, which will benefit remaining harvest and fieldwork.

GOOD HARVEST WEATHER CONTINUES FOR SOUTHEAST

A front moving through the Southeast on Friday has seen its showers mostly dry up. Despite some cold, mostly favorable harvest conditions are expected to continue for the next week.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR PACIFIC NORTHWEST

Some occasional showers will go through the Pacific Northwest during the next week but will be light in the valleys. Winter wheat continues to deal with drought before going dormant, but time is running out before it does.

BLACK SEA WHEAT NEARING DORMANCY IN UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS

Dryness continues to be a large concern in the Black Sea region for winter wheat prior to dormancy, which is beginning to occur. Some better showers could move through this weekend into next week, but may be too late to have much of an impact.

SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN BRAZIL

A front continues with scattered showers to southern Brazil on Friday, benefiting corn and soybean development. But the drier pattern across the south is concerning as it does not look to relax and get wetter anytime soon. Daily scattered showers continue to promote good growing conditions in the central states.

SHOWERS IN ARGENTINA THIS WEEKEND

A system brought good showers to most of Argentina during the last couple of days. Another weak front will bring showers this weekend, but the overall drier pattern is a concern since only periodic showers along fronts will break it up during the next two weeks.

HEAVY RAIN SLOWING HARVEST IN EASTERN AUSTRALIA

A system brought moderate to heavy rain over the majority of the eastern Australia this week. Showers will continue at times through next week as well, keeping soils dry and equipment out of fields. Quality is also a concern due to recent heavy rains.

**

Get a full rundown on the 2022 outlook for weather affecting U.S. and international crop areas during the DTN Ag Summit, Dec. 5-7, in Chicago. Visit www.dtn.com/agsummit for more details about the summit and to register. Register by today, Nov. 26 for the early bird rate.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick